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Posted: 2/18/2017 6:04:32 AM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Thread is like ice road truckers. People saying "someone might die!" every two seconds but nothing actually happens. Not saying I'm hoping for the dam to burst or anything, it's just kinda fun how engrossed the site seems to be with what'll prolly be a total non event. This won't be over for months, this is just a good start. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 6:47:13 AM EDT
[#2]
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Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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That sure shows a heap of optimism! Do they have a poll on when it fails? Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 7:16:10 AM EDT
[#3]
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We have a nearby town named Centralia here in PA. It is, or was I should say, a mining town too. We used to take our 4x4's there all the time and explore. It's an extremely interesting place. You should look it up Long story short, the town dump was on a coal seam. Trash fire lit the seam and it's been burning underground for years. Town was eventually evacuated and closed off. Highway that ran through the town was re-routed around it but you can still get out on it. Looks like a scene from one of those earthquake movies Quote HistoryQuoted:
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I was born in Centralia and raised in Winlock until 7th grade (1990). Not related to your conversation at all, just thought I'd share since I saw you were from there!  We have a nearby town named Centralia here in PA. It is, or was I should say, a mining town too. We used to take our 4x4's there all the time and explore. It's an extremely interesting place. You should look it up Long story short, the town dump was on a coal seam. Trash fire lit the seam and it's been burning underground for years. Town was eventually evacuated and closed off. Highway that ran through the town was re-routed around it but you can still get out on it. Looks like a scene from one of those earthquake movies Iirc, that's the town where they got the idea for Silent Hill . |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 7:25:45 AM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
This won't be over for months, this is just a good start. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Thread is like ice road truckers. People saying "someone might die!" every two seconds but nothing actually happens. Not saying I'm hoping for the dam to burst or anything, it's just kinda fun how engrossed the site seems to be with what'll prolly be a total non event. This won't be over for months, this is just a good start. This ^^^ What we are seeing now is just the Pre show teaser with the scary narrator voice and B roll of ice cracking. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 7:31:54 AM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Thread is like ice road truckers. People saying "someone might die!" every two seconds but nothing actually happens. Not saying I'm hoping for the dam to burst or anything, it's just kinda fun how engrossed the site seems to be with what'll prolly be a total non event. It is a long way until all the snow melts. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 8:24:38 AM EDT
[#6]
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I will take 444 Quote HistoryQuoted:
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That sure shows a heap of optimism! Do they have a poll on when it fails? Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. 287 for the fail. Ed |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 8:41:46 AM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Thread is like ice road truckers. People saying "someone might die!" every two seconds but nothing actually happens. Not saying I'm hoping for the dam to burst or anything, it's just kinda fun how engrossed the site seems to be with what'll prolly be a total non event. I don't want or expect anything to happen; but I am fascinated by the geology, the construction of the dam, and the actions being taken to mitigate. Learning a lot from this thread 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:08:30 AM EDT
[#8]
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287 for the fail. Ed Quote HistoryQuoted:
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That sure shows a heap of optimism! Do they have a poll on when it fails? Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. 287 for the fail. Ed 387. You heard it here first. 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:18:00 AM EDT
[#9]
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I will take 444 Quote HistoryQuoted:
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That sure shows a heap of optimism! Do they have a poll on when it fails? Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. Put me down for 901 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:25:58 AM EDT
[#10]
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This won't be over for months, this is just a good start. Even next week is loaded with rain...3 straight days. These AR events are likely to continue according to models. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:35:28 AM EDT
[#11]
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:42:50 AM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryOnly a sick person would be hoping for something bad to happen here. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 9:46:26 AM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
2.b, no megastorm. ( more than ~7 days of 1 inch a day plus 5 inches on any random day) Current rainfall forecast is right at 6" per 6 days over the lake, 6-8" in the very close north easternly region and up to 12" over the mountains of the basin. For next Tuesday, the forecast is between 2 and 5" on the lake and the closest montain. If you used averages over the entire basin, the forecast looks like that 7" total is going to be exceeded clearly, but whether there will be over 5" in a single day is less likely. 6 days: 
Tuesday: 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:17:40 AM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Current rainfall forecast is right at 6" per 6 days over the lake, 6-8" in the very close north easternly region and up to 12" over the mountains of the basin. For next Tuesday, the forecast is between 2 and 5" on the lake and the closest montain. If you used averages over the entire basin, the forecast looks like that 7" total is going to be exceeded clearly, but whether there will be over 5" in a single day is less likely. 6 days: http://i337.photobucket.com/albums/n397/ghgfgfhfghshsg/Clipboard01_2.png Tuesday: http://i337.photobucket.com/albums/n397/ghgfgfhfghshsg/Clipboard02.png I don't mean five in a single day, I mean there's 5 inches of buffer in there over that time. As in five of the days could have 2 inches of rain. A buffer nearly used up in the models you are posting. I have a feeling this is going to be Apollo 13 type winging it until summer. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:18:25 AM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
287 for the fail. Ed Quote HistoryQuoted:
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That sure shows a heap of optimism! Do they have a poll on when it fails? Earlier I predicted that page 333 will hold that event. 287 for the fail. Ed I predict that the page number will match the lake level at 887. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:19:28 AM EDT
[#16]
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:27:36 AM EDT
[#17]
Update: it's been raining pretty hard for a while
The poison oak is in full affect! |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:37:34 AM EDT
[#18]
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Update: it's been raining pretty hard for a whileThe poison oak is in full affect! Gaiters for the win |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:43:08 AM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted:Only a sick person would be hoping for something bad to happen here. So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:45:06 AM EDT
[#20]
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Update: it's been raining pretty hard for a whileThe poison oak is in full affect! Time to procrasturbate!! |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:46:02 AM EDT
[#21]
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So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. That color hurts the fuck out of my eyes trying to read it.. Wowza 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:51:01 AM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Only a sick person would be hoping for something bad to happen here. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Only a sick person would be hoping for something bad to happen here. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 10:52:07 AM EDT
[#23]
they're currently at 855.5 ft (80% of capacity). i predict that there will be no dangerous amount of increase in the levels as long as they have the main spillway open
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:11:56 AM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
That color hurts the fuck out of my eyes trying to read it.. Wowza Quote HistoryQuoted:
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So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. That color hurts the fuck out of my eyes trying to read it.. Wowza Commiefagians and their green fonts. That whole state needs to break off and sink in the Pacific Ocean. 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:12:33 AM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. Want people to skip right over your post without reading it? Post in some obscene color that makes it almost impossible to read! |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:16:06 AM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
That color hurts the fuck out of my eyes trying to read it.. Wowza Quote HistoryQuoted:
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So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. That color hurts the fuck out of my eyes trying to read it.. Wowza Kalifornians
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:17:16 AM EDT
[#27]
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Commiefagians and their green fonts. That whole state needs to break off and sink in the Pacific Ocean.
Let me go get my mom first . WTF |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:23:51 AM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Update: it's been raining pretty hard for a whileThe poison oak is in full affect! Did you buy the Tecnu Xtreme Poison Oak /Ivey wash and use it? |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:24:32 AM EDT
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Update: it's been raining pretty hard for a while Last time there was a 24 hour delay from the ramp up of the rain to when the inflow started to trend up. After that there remained a 12 hour delay between changes in rainfall and inflow to the reservoir. If that behavior holds for this storm, we should start to see high inflows late today and the situation as forecast would be worst during Tuesday/Wednesday night or early Wednesday 22nd morning. 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:27:25 AM EDT
[#30]
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:33:47 AM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:34:23 AM EDT
[#32]
Just checking in to see if this is still a safe thread.
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:36:55 AM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
It is a long way until all the snow melts. There's a lot of snow that will melt when the freezing level gets up to 8,000'. I hope the damn dam guys know what they're looking at. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:38:15 AM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg 
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:38:18 AM EDT
[#35]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:38:27 AM EDT
[#36]
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That's not good at all, any idea when that happened? That's all they need right now is a bunch of mudslides. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:40:40 AM EDT
[#37]
looking on Google Earth, it doesn't look like a issue at all for the trucks
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:43:05 AM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Want people to skip right over your post without reading it? Post in some obscene color that makes it almost impossible to read! This |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:46:37 AM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Commiefagians and their green fonts. That whole state needs to break off and sink in the Pacific Ocean.
Does nobody realize that half of the entire state of California is rural red maga country? Seems like some folls think everone here surfs daily and is a retard lib. Lots to learn. This is Jefferson State up here. Npr is JPR and it doesnt suck. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:49:51 AM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg Saturated soil. That road is not quite near the dam, further east. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:49:59 AM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Does nobody realize that half of the entire state of California is rural red maga country? Seems like some folls think everone here surfs daily and is a retard lib. Lots to learn. This is Jefferson State up here. Npr is JPR and it doesnt suck. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:52:20 AM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg Shouldn't effect anything, that road runs along side Lake Oroville and leads up to Bucks lake and eventually, Quincy but it's the long way. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 11:56:19 AM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
apparently this is some access road to the dam, hope it doesn't affect the quarry/concrete trucks https://pbs.twimg.com/media/C49HuRlUEAAtci-.jpg This is like reason 100 not to outdrive your brakes or your headlights. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 12:04:18 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Does nobody realize that half of the entire state of California is rural red maga country? Seems like some folls think everone here surfs daily and is a retard lib. . Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Commiefagians and their green fonts. That whole state needs to break off and sink in the Pacific Ocean.
Does nobody realize that half of the entire state of California is rural red maga country? Seems like some folls think everone here surfs daily and is a retard lib. . Sorry but good guys in CA failed to protect there state and allowed it to be taken over by commie shits and have allowed there POS state to endanger the free states. They lost there territory and they should leave and stop supporting the idiots. Voting with there feet is all that's left for them. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 12:05:23 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
So about 30% of the General Discussion posters? Like the socialist and Marxist have made Trump into their monster allowing all things possibly bad to be said about him including his death the General Discussion have made the state and people of California the focus of their rage. It's been that way for twenty years here. You should give yourself a 48 hour time out for using that font color.
My eyes!
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Posted: 2/18/2017 12:07:06 PM EDT
[#46]
I've been taking screen captures from the visitor center webcam everyday in the morning and evening since the 15th.
so here they are starting on the morning of the 15th. 
last pic was today. |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 12:14:26 PM EDT
[#48]
The weather system that is dumping on CA is moving all the way up here.
Rain and snow supposed to hit us starting this afternoon. I wonder how much snow the higher elevations are getting ? |
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Posted: 2/18/2017 12:15:01 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I've been taking screen captures from the visitor center webcam everyday in the morning and evening since the 15th. so here they are starting on the morning of the 15th. http://i.imgur.com/b5vYX0w.png http://i.imgur.com/oSX8HjX.png http://i.imgur.com/Y90XljQ.png http://i.imgur.com/L0Pby5O.png http://i.imgur.com/caoM1pT.png http://i.imgur.com/z2Hqrzb.png http://i.imgur.com/QwGUEZY.png last pic was today. Very nice. Thats 20% of a cubic mile of water gone downriver. |
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