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Link Posted: 9/26/2022 12:23:24 AM EST
[#1]
My wife is supposed to be flying out of Panama City Tuesday morning. Will the airport be operational. Not sure of the timeline when they shut everything down and strap er all up.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 12:33:18 AM EST
[#2]
The next 48 to 72hrs will be interesting. Stay safe folks.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 12:57:04 AM EST
[#3]
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Quoted:
My wife is supposed to be flying out of Panama City Tuesday morning. Will the airport be operational. Not sure of the timeline when they shut everything down and strap er all up.
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That shouldn't be an issue. It'll still be way south in the Gulf by then, and Panama City is increasingly looking like it'll be totally unaffected anyways.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 1:01:49 AM EST
[#4]
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I am in SWFL and I think people around here should be paying closer attention, that track keeps pushing back east. Charlie turned when it wanted to and didn't bother with the predictions.
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SWFL here too. I’m paying close attention to this one.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 1:07:22 AM EST
[#5]
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That shouldn't be an issue. It'll still be way south in the Gulf by then, and Panama City is increasingly looking like it'll be totally unaffected anyways.
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Quoted:
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My wife is supposed to be flying out of Panama City Tuesday morning. Will the airport be operational. Not sure of the timeline when they shut everything down and strap er all up.


That shouldn't be an issue. It'll still be way south in the Gulf by then, and Panama City is increasingly looking like it'll be totally unaffected anyways.


Darn, It's been pretty nice and quiet around here the past week without her.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 1:26:20 AM EST
[#6]
Well I just got home. Was up north for family events. OTW down I95 I passed a ton of out of state utility trucks heading southbound and saw a T-Mobile emergency command post also. It should be interesting. Tomorrow is a work day hurricane prepping the home. I already have my water and food and fuels stashed. Wish me luck but I’m more worried about my youngest son in Largo.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 1:29:13 AM EST
[#7]
In Crystal River on the west side of 19.  Just got a new roof on like a month ago. Hope to not have to test it out again.

Also, hopefully we wont have manatees stuck in the surge and driven inland.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 2:41:18 AM EST
[#8]
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Quoted:
In Crystal River on the west side of 19.  Just got a new roof on like a month ago. Hope to not have to test it out again.

Also, hopefully we wont have manatees stuck in the surge and driven inland.
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Respectfully if you're on the west side of 19 in Crystal River, Flooding might be the greater concern
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 2:48:24 AM EST
[#9]
Need to update the title to Hurricane Ian.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 3:39:22 AM EST
[#10]
Florida Division of Emergency Management
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 3:50:55 AM EST
[#11]
In Pinellas County shelters are opening at 0600 on Tuesday. I get the privilege of riding this one out in South St. Pete.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 3:56:15 AM EST
[#12]
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In Pinellas County shelters are opening at 0600 on Tuesday. I get the privilege of riding this one out in South St. Pete.
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I'm in Shore Acres.  Boarding up this evening.  Considering leaving the county if it makes its strength projections.  

Where in South St. Pete are you?  @Dirtynails.



Link Posted: 9/26/2022 4:04:27 AM EST
[#13]
Mr. Twitchy, I will be at an elementary school on 5th Ave South. I will be thinking about your part of town for obvious reasons.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 4:05:00 AM EST
[#14]
Updated shortly after I posted.  Looks like Cedar Key is a pivot point.


Link Posted: 9/26/2022 4:05:53 AM EST
[#15]
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Respectfully if you're on the west side of 19 in Crystal River, Flooding might be the greater concern
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In Crystal River on the west side of 19.  Just got a new roof on like a month ago. Hope to not have to test it out again.

Also, hopefully we wont have manatees stuck in the surge and driven inland.
Respectfully if you're on the west side of 19 in Crystal River, Flooding might be the greater concern


Yep..... 19 is like a Levy in Pasco/Hernando/Citrus Co ........ and you don't want to be on the W. Side of it. I've got some friends in Hernando Beach, and Aripeka ..... they have some important decisions to make tomorrow.

I'm in Land O Lakes in Pasco, and my parents live in Odessa in NW Hillsborough. I have no doubt we will be without power for at least 2 weeks if the Euro model is accurate.

Tornados are the wild card ......... the only thing I can't prepare for without evacuating.

This sucks.....
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 4:43:07 AM EST
[#16]
…here I am, at my son’s in Key West and I’m heading back to Pennsylvania this evening.  

With my luck, I’ll be driving through the storm the whole way home!
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 4:56:40 AM EST
[#17]
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Hey neat, my house is in that picture...
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:23:09 AM EST
[#18]
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As long as it don’t tear up Roy’s Restaurant in Steinhatchee and Deal’s in Perry.  Those places are good.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:35:25 AM EST
[#19]
I live in the mountains of Valrico.  Not worried about flooding.  We are about 50 feet above sea level. We all have to worry about wind damage.   I expect power outage for quite a bit of time.  Downed trees will be all over the place.  10+ inches of rain on top of the saturation at the end of the rainy season will be a major problem for a lot of people.

We have a 2200 watt generator, 30 gals of gas for the generator, plenty of food and water and a small backup window AC unit.  Unless we get a tornado we should be OK.  However, it will be a pain in the ass for awhile.


At Cat III or Cat IV hurricane moving through Tampa Bay will be a major pain in the ass for a couple of million people.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:36:22 AM EST
[#20]
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They aren't really a thing until they hit Cat 3.
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And you can fall asleep to a Cat 1 and wake up to a Cat 3-4 over your house. This was Wilma for plenty of people.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:37:19 AM EST
[#21]
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I'm in Shore Acres.  
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That is not a good place to be.  If I lived there I would evacuate.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:53:34 AM EST
[#22]
ETA no one read this anyway
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 5:56:49 AM EST
[#23]
Brother and sister-in-law moved from Seattle after he retired.  They did not want to move back to Houston area.  Too many hurricanes.

So they moved to the villages in Florida.

They have the generator scheduled to be installed in November
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:03:06 AM EST
[#24]
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And you can fall asleep to a Cat 1 and wake up to a Cat 3-4 over your house. This was Wilma for plenty of people.
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That was Opal for me.  
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:16:32 AM EST
[#25]
Note the forecast shows a slow movement which is ripe for a strong flood risk. That is secondary to the forecasted landfall location. But is something people need to pay attention to in addition to wind speeds
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:18:36 AM EST
[#26]
Yep slow assed movement could get you a Harvey type situation
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:36:14 AM EST
[#27]
Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:37:42 AM EST
[#28]
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?
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Yeah you might wanna rethink that.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:49:21 AM EST
[#29]
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Yeah you might wanna rethink that.
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?


Yeah you might wanna rethink that.


I imagine that it will start raining Tuesday and not end until at least on Sunday
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 6:59:53 AM EST
[#30]
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?
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Yeah I would try to see if you can get refunded or reschedule. I wouldn’t be surprised if your flight gets cancelled. While on its current track you should be pretty safe in Daytona, it’s probably going to be a zoo on I4 from people evacuating to the east coast. On the current track Islamorada should be fine for the most part, however it’s going to be extremely rainy Wednesday-Saturday.

Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:00:02 AM EST
[#31]


We're around 5 miles from the NW corner of Lake George. We're putting plywood over windows today.

Get ready folks.

Just called the local Mom & Pop hardware. They have over 200 sheets of exterior 5/8" on "Special" for $40 a sheet. Woo Hoo.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:04:57 AM EST
[#32]
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Yeah you might wanna rethink that.
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?


Yeah you might wanna rethink that.

HHS prepositioned NDMS teams yesterday. They initially were going to go to Orlando, then the call came in, absolutely not, Orlando is a no-go.

Closest you really want to be is Pensacola.  If you’re risk averse, anyway.  
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:10:06 AM EST
[#33]
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL092022_wind_probs_34_F120+png/102341.png

We're around 5 miles from the NW corner of Lake George. We're putting plywood over windows today.

Get ready folks.

Just called the local Mom & Pop hardware. They have over 200 sheets of exterior 5/8" on "Special" for $40 a sheet. Woo Hoo.
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These days that might be considered a good price.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:11:34 AM EST
[#34]
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I am in SWFL and I think people around here should be paying closer attention, that track keeps pushing back east. Charlie turned when it wanted to and didn't bother with the predictions.
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100% agreed. Even if the eye doesn’t cross in SWFL - the top right quadrant is likely to flood and winds will be max for the category. My neighbors in Sanibel are all yawning over this. I’m very happy to be sitting in Fort Lauderdale waiting it out.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:12:23 AM EST
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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HHS prepositioned NDMS teams yesterday. They initially were going to go to Orlando, then the call came in, absolutely not, Orlando is a no-go.

Closest you really want to be is Pensacola.  If you’re risk averse, anyway.  
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?


Yeah you might wanna rethink that.

HHS prepositioned NDMS teams yesterday. They initially were going to go to Orlando, then the call came in, absolutely not, Orlando is a no-go.

Closest you really want to be is Pensacola.  If you’re risk averse, anyway.  


Anyone remember in ‘04 when Charley was supposed to hit the Bay Area?

Everyone evacuated to Orlando and then it cut early and went up I4 and screwed all the evacuees.

Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:19:10 AM EST
[#36]
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Most of you probably already know this, but I just wanna remind everyone that the current path of the storm would have the front right quadrant as the leading edge toward Tampa Bay which will actually sweep in a ton of water, that's pretty much the worst scenario. It's based on the counter clockwise rotation of the storm, and the water that it's going to push up ahead on that front right quadrant.

With Irma, the storm passed Tampa on the east, so being on the opposite side of the counter clockwise rotation, on the left quadrants, it drove water out and sucked the bay dry. I wouldn't expect that on this one.


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Google Hurricane Pheonix Exercise
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:22:09 AM EST
[#37]
Man the folks on the weather channel sure are amped up. Guess they finally have a storm to talk about.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:22:53 AM EST
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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100% agreed. Even if the eye doesn’t cross in SWFL - the top right quadrant is likely to flood and winds will be max for the category. My neighbors in Sanibel are all yawning over this. I’m very happy to be sitting in Fort Lauderdale waiting it out.
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Quoted:
I am in SWFL and I think people around here should be paying closer attention, that track keeps pushing back east. Charlie turned when it wanted to and didn't bother with the predictions.


100% agreed. Even if the eye doesn’t cross in SWFL - the top right quadrant is likely to flood and winds will be max for the category. My neighbors in Sanibel are all yawning over this. I’m very happy to be sitting in Fort Lauderdale waiting it out.


They are talking about storm surge.. 10’+ in several locations. It could get pretty ugly.
Especially with an expected slowdown.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:23:06 AM EST
[#39]
SEEKING INPUT FROM THOSE IN ORLANDO & LAKELAND (not safety or evac related):

I have a D trip planned for this week.  We were going to drive down on Wednesday.  We had outdoor events planned for Thursday, obviously that is not going to happen.  We also had Legoland tickets for Saturday, which is down in the Lakeland area.

The wife is pretty bummed, and we are thinking about delaying the trip, maybe leave on Friday and push the Legoland day out into the middle of next week.

I am generally worried about Orlando due to possible long term power outtages, but I am mainly worried about Legoland being much closer to the coast than Orlando.  Do you guys think Lakeland will be somewhat normal by mid next week?

Thanks for input.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:24:41 AM EST
[#40]
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?
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Proper fooked....
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:25:12 AM EST
[#41]
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Man the folks on the weather channel sure are amped up. Guess they finally have a storm to talk about.
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For those of us who’ve been tracking it’s been silent, like not a single real disturbance for months, now it all wants to come at once ??
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:26:28 AM EST
[#42]
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Man the folks on the weather channel sure are amped up. Guess they finally have a storm to talk about.
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They've had blue balls all year.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:35:33 AM EST
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
SEEKING INPUT FROM THOSE IN ORLANDO & LAKELAND (not safety or evac related):

I have a D trip planned for this week.  We were going to drive down on Wednesday.  We had outdoor events planned for Thursday, obviously that is not going to happen.  We also had Lego land tickets for Saturday, which is down in the Lakeland area.

The wife is pretty bummed, and we are thinking about delaying the trip, maybe leave on Friday and push the Lego land day out into the middle of next week.

I am generally worried about Orlando due to possible long term power outtages, but I am mainly worried about Lego land being much closer to the coast than Orlando.  Do you guys think Lakeland will be somewhat normal by mid next week?

Thanks for input.
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It impossible to predict. But most parks were closed for days after Irma.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:35:56 AM EST
[#44]
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Need to update the title to Hurricane Ian.
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Done
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:39:09 AM EST
[#45]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
SEEKING INPUT FROM THOSE IN ORLANDO & LAKELAND (not safety or evac related):

I have a D trip planned for this week.  We were going to drive down on Wednesday.  We had outdoor events planned for Thursday, obviously that is not going to happen.  We also had Lego land tickets for Saturday, which is down in the Lakeland area.

The wife is pretty bummed, and we are thinking about delaying the trip, maybe leave on Friday and push the Lego land day out into the middle of next week.

I am generally worried about Orlando due to possible long term power outtages, but I am mainly worried about Lego land being much closer to the coast than Orlando.  Do you guys think Lakeland will be somewhat normal by mid next week?

Thanks for input.
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I was supposed to fly in to Orlando for a week. Cancelled the plans. Lived through many hurricanes over the last almost 60 years. Even if Orlando is not damaged or flooded, you may or may not have power. Evacuees will be everywhere. Food and fuel will be hard to find. Traffic will be a mess. The park may or may not be open. The same scenario happened to me in Lafayette, LA. Katrina hit to my east, then Rita to my west. Population quadrupled in size. I still lost power for a week.
Prayers to all in the cone.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:39:35 AM EST
[#46]
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Flying into Orlando Wednesday afternoon. Supposed to stay the night in Daytona beach and then head to Islamorada in the Keys for the rest of the week. Am I fooked?
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Your flight will probably be cancelled.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:40:23 AM EST
[#47]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
SEEKING INPUT FROM THOSE IN ORLANDO & LAKELAND (not safety or evac related):

I have a D trip planned for this week.  We were going to drive down on Wednesday.  We had outdoor events planned for Thursday, obviously that is not going to happen.  We also had Lego land tickets for Saturday, which is down in the Lakeland area.

The wife is pretty bummed, and we are thinking about delaying the trip, maybe leave on Friday and push the Lego land day out into the middle of next week.

I am generally worried about Orlando due to possible long term power outtages, but I am mainly worried about Lego land being much closer to the coast than Orlando.  Do you guys think Lakeland will be somewhat normal by mid next week?

Thanks for input.
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I live across town from Legoland. Current track I wouldn't worry about Orlando much other than increased traffic from Tampa evac.

Winter Haven (Legoland) I don't think will be too bad from storm other than shity weather for a few days (baring a tornado dropping out in the wrong place). Traffic going to Orlando back from Legoland will be shity as usual if not more.

Quoted:



It impossible to predict. But most parks were closed for days after Irma.
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Eh.. Irma came over Winter Haven retty much. It was much much closer than current track.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:43:45 AM EST
[#48]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



It impossible to predict. But most parks were closed for days after Irma.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
SEEKING INPUT FROM THOSE IN ORLANDO & LAKELAND (not safety or evac related):

I have a D trip planned for this week.  We were going to drive down on Wednesday.  We had outdoor events planned for Thursday, obviously that is not going to happen.  We also had Lego land tickets for Saturday, which is down in the Lakeland area.

The wife is pretty bummed, and we are thinking about delaying the trip, maybe leave on Friday and push the Lego land day out into the middle of next week.

I am generally worried about Orlando due to possible long term power outtages, but I am mainly worried about Lego land being much closer to the coast than Orlando.  Do you guys think Lakeland will be somewhat normal by mid next week?

Thanks for input.



It impossible to predict. But most parks were closed for days after Irma.


Saturday might be cutting it close.  They will have some down time for clean up and safety checks.  It all depends upon when & where impact is and for how long the wind and rain lasts.

When you do go to Legoland, eat here in nearby Lake Wales:
https://lincontrofl.com/
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:48:32 AM EST
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Google Hurricane Pheonix Exercise
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

Most of you probably already know this, but I just wanna remind everyone that the current path of the storm would have the front right quadrant as the leading edge toward Tampa Bay which will actually sweep in a ton of water, that's pretty much the worst scenario. It's based on the counter clockwise rotation of the storm, and the water that it's going to push up ahead on that front right quadrant.

With Irma, the storm passed Tampa on the east, so being on the opposite side of the counter clockwise rotation, on the left quadrants, it drove water out and sucked the bay dry. I wouldn't expect that on this one.


Google Hurricane Pheonix Exercise
Lol. You obviously missed my post, six posts after that one, I provided a link to phoenix.
Link Posted: 9/26/2022 7:49:05 AM EST
[#50]
Legoland on Saturday will probably be fine, if there is power.  I'd push the trip back though if possible.  You never know with hurricanes.  This one could end up being the ONE that wipes out St Pete, Tampa, Orlando that they have been talking about for decades, or it could peter out and hit the panhandle as a Cat 1.  You just never know.  If I didn't live here, I certainly would not be making plans to come during or just after a potential catastrophic event.
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