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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:24:27 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Porque no d s?  The 422 is truly one of the best guns that they've ever made, that desperately needs a reboot. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: In the path. We are prepped. Water/Fuel/Food/Ammo lol. Hopefully it shifts more west. The area around Perry is much more sparsely populated and mostly deer camps. Will post when it passes. Have to pull the starlink inside tonight. I'm on the east coast. I'm going to a local gun shop to see if I can snag a S&W Model 422.  422 or 442? Porque no d s? The 422 is truly one of the best guns that they've ever made, that desperately needs a reboot. Ahh, a man of exquisite taste. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:24:51 PM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yeah, that would be bad. And in no way am I not sympathetic to those currently residing in the area which is less populated. Because, as I mentioned before, hurricanes suck and are evil. Prayers to all of my fellow southerners dealing with this! Friends have a place in horseshoe Beach. At 15ft....it may be just at the porch ( 95% of the homes got put on pilings few years ago). But as posted...it's 20+ minute drive to get to " town:. Nothing but woods.... Still sucks for the locals. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:25:55 PM EDT
[#3]
Hurricane Party
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:26:10 PM EDT
[#4]
looks like gulf temps for Katrina were 82+ degrees per NASA the gulf is currently at 90 and up
https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/3222 |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:27:35 PM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryQuoted: As of 12:20 PM EDT on 29 August 2023, the Florida 511 website of traffic is not showing any congestion going north or south. That assumes that it is relatively current.  Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:35:13 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I've got a Delta flight into Altanta landing around 7PM tomorrow connecting to a flight leaving at 9pm. Is Delta going to tell me anything, or just cancel last minute? Never dealt with this before... This is an interesting first post. I need some top of the panhandle rain. shift it west a hair or 5 |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:38:18 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I've got a Delta flight into Altanta landing around 7PM tomorrow connecting to a flight leaving at 9pm. Is Delta going to tell me anything, or just cancel last minute? Never dealt with this before... I don’t know the answer but if you download the app flight aware onto your phone, it will tell you where your plane currently is so you know if it’s coming in late or canceled. Good luck |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:40:28 PM EDT
[#8]
updated
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:40:57 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. Tell him to wait until any issues are reported. Watch the news starting Wednesday but give them until Friday to get a handle on issues. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:42:47 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 12:43:06 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. Probably some rain and mild wind, unless it hooks a hard right. Shouldn’t be an issue by next week… |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:04:23 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. Very little impact. We have worse summer storms as it currently sits. Just had a random storm 3 weeks ago dump 5" of rain in an hour with 50mph winds. We took a direct hit from Charlie - power down for 1 week+ and Disney was open at full capacity the next day. They will be more than fine. ETA: Saw other responses. I live in orlando, have been for 20 years. Been through all of them. Orlando will be more than fine with this- we are barely even forecast to get TS winds and only 1-2" of water. Hell I have a lunch meeting scheduled for tomorrow. By contrast we got 90mph and 16" with Ian and a week later all was back to normal. Unless it shifts and takes everyone by surprise your co-worker wont even know it happened. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:09:47 PM EDT
[#13]
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:10:31 PM EDT
[#14]
Orlando schools have closed for tomorrow
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:10:44 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Tell him to wait until any issues are reported. Watch the news starting Wednesday but give them until Friday to get a handle on issues. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. Tell him to wait until any issues are reported. Watch the news starting Wednesday but give them until Friday to get a handle on issues. Do you know where orlando is positioned in relation to the storm? |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:12:15 PM EDT
[#16]
Sarasota here.
First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:18:44 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Sarasota here. First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. We sure see it coming here in Largo..  Attached File Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:20:39 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Do you know where orlando is positioned in relation to the storm? If the St Augustine gas thread has shown us anything most people think Florida is just one small place.
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:30:59 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted: We sure see it coming here in Largo.. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131641_jpg-2936291.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131327_jpg-2936292.JPG Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Sarasota here. First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. We sure see it coming here in Largo.. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131641_jpg-2936291.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131327_jpg-2936292.JPG It moves fast. The band came in quickly, sky turned dark, poured for about 20 mins and then was gone. Another band coming in a bit. Should be similar to the last one. They will be coming all night. No lightning strikes along the coast. A bunch were hitting about 40-50 miles inland (between Arcadia and Sebring). |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:31:39 PM EDT
[#20]
Water temps in the Gulf are high. We went fishing this weekend and the fish finder showed 92 degree water temps.
That's Hurricane nitrous. If wind shear isn't bad I could see it getting stronger as it approaches warmer shallow waters. It's hugging the coast so that might affect the outflow. Tampa is on the bad side of it but worst stays offshore. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:34:18 PM EDT
[#21]
The weather people are saying to head down to the basement.
 QCM
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:38:25 PM EDT
[#22]
I went to Daytona Biketoberfest just days after Matthew moved up the east coast. Tore a lot of shit up and my hotel was closed because of severe damage so I camped at the Cabbage Patch. The one thing I really noticed driving in and out of Fla was that it stunk like shit where it churned up all the lowland swamps as well as I'm sure overwhelming sewage systems.
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:40:16 PM EDT
[#23]
good luck on your insurance down in FLA after this,
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:42:13 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted: What area? @Guitargod1985 Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: I'm under contract to buy a house in St. Pete at 11:30Am today that's located in Zone A. It looks like I'm fucked. The house will likely be flooded within 24 hours of purchase. @Guitargod1985 @Twitchy Gateway. East of MLK. The house is now mine. I hope the weather updates have been favorable. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:49:01 PM EDT
[#25]
Planning to be at Fripp Friday
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:49:54 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted: 422 or 442? Quote HistoryQuoted: 422 or 442?  Attached FileQuoted: Will they consider it tax exempt as part of the hurricane prep?? |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:52:55 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted: @Twitchy Gateway. The house is now mine. I hope the weather updates have been favorable. You'll be fine there. Generally anything west of 4th will be fine from surge unless we get a massive hit. Wind is more concerning if it gets bad. My place is a block from the water in Shore Acres just to the east of you. I'm up in Tampa now though. Most of Pinellas will be under water if we ever get hit with a major storm. Look at a topographical map and you'll see a donut in the central part of the county. It'll be the last thing not underwater, although it will probably be torn up from wind if it gets that bad. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:54:00 PM EDT
[#28]
Quoted:
The weather people are saying to head down to the basement. QCM [/quote]Now I'm not from Florida but that doesn't sound right to me. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 1:59:06 PM EDT
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: The weather people are saying to head down to the basement. QCM [/quote]Now I'm not from Florida but that doesn't sound right to me. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:01:29 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryQuoted: As of 12:20 PM EDT on 29 August 2023, the Florida 511 website of traffic is not showing any congestion going north or south. That assumes that it is relatively current. Made it 82 miles into GA (stopped to eat). No traffic issues at all from Florida Turnpike to now up I75. Bunch of bucket trucks going south for a good while. Now up here they are stationed here and there off the exits in lots. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:04:16 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted: That one's on NOAA. They have the same bizarre thing going on for their planned 2025-2027 names. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: They may have already started by deciding to mispronounce Idalia as Ee-dalia to mock De-Santis, those are some sneaky buggers on the left. The pronunciation all over the media makes no sense to me, I can't think of another word off hand that starts with a high "i" vowel. That one's on NOAA. They have the same bizarre thing going on for their planned 2025-2027 names. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf They are a bunch of eediots
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:06:43 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Sarasota here. First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. Waiting for more |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:08:35 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I went to Daytona Biketoberfest just days after Matthew moved up the east coast. Tore a lot of shit up and my hotel was closed because of severe damage so I camped at the Cabbage Patch. The one thing I really noticed driving in and out of Fla was that it stunk like shit where it churned up all the lowland swamps as well as I'm sure overwhelming sewage systems. Water table I at best 3 to 4 in area's. Ground water perqs up...smells like Sulphur and shit. Now out my way...by the st.johns....it could be shit as It was flooded for over a month + and each home has its own lift station. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:08:47 PM EDT
[#34]
Hurricane Idalia Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023 200 PM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023 ...IDALIA'S SQUALLS OVERSPREADING PORTIONS OF THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 84.9W ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM WNW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Cuba has discontinued all hurricane and tropical storm warnings for Cuba.  DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Idalia was located near latitude 25.2 North, longitude 84.9 West. Idalia is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h). A faster motion toward the north and north-northeast is expected through early Wednesday while Idalia approaches the Gulf coast of Florida. A turn toward the northeast and east-northeast is forecast late Wednesday and Thursday, bringing the center of Idalia near or along the coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas. Satellite images indicate that Idalia continues to strengthen, and maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is expected before landfall, and Idalia is forecast to be a major hurricane when it reaches the Gulf coast of Florida Wednesday morning. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.76 inches). |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:25:16 PM EDT
[#35]
Just started to get cloudy here in Citrus county. Humid as fuck,but no wind so far. 2:24 pm
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:26:24 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yup same, Sarasota (Palmer Ranch here) - came in and left already. Waiting for more Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Sarasota here. First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. Waiting for more Hi neighbor! We will have more coming, but at least we have an idea of what's coming. Tampa Bay is getting the wave we got. Looks like they are getting wet! Those north of Tampa should anticipate lots of rain within the hour. Naples is getting the second big band so we will be getting it in a couple of hours. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:34:29 PM EDT
[#37]
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:35:06 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Do you know where orlando is positioned in relation to the storm? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: How bad do yall think Orlando will get? I've got a co-worker that's supposed to go there on vacation next week. Tell him to wait until any issues are reported. Watch the news starting Wednesday but give them until Friday to get a handle on issues. Do you know where orlando is positioned in relation to the storm? @GeneralDisaray  WESH 2's Eric Burris takes an in-depth look at Hurricane Idalia 8/29 Wesh2 is one of the local news from that area to watch. Also check here: https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=28.538230000000055&lon=-81.37738999999993 And here : https://www.weather.gov/mlb/ |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:35:49 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It moves fast. The band came in quickly, sky turned dark, poured for about 20 mins and then was gone. Another band coming in a bit. Should be similar to the last one. They will be coming all night. No lightning strikes along the coast. A bunch were hitting about 40-50 miles inland (between Arcadia and Sebring). Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Sarasota here. First wave coming now. Winds from the direct south. This is a WET storm. Lots of rain already. We sure see it coming here in Largo.. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131641_jpg-2936291.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/208043/20230829_131327_jpg-2936292.JPG It moves fast. The band came in quickly, sky turned dark, poured for about 20 mins and then was gone. Another band coming in a bit. Should be similar to the last one. They will be coming all night. No lightning strikes along the coast. A bunch were hitting about 40-50 miles inland (between Arcadia and Sebring). I hope she stays fast. It camping on the gulf would suck. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:36:25 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted: A Model 422 @kcolg30. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/122381/1000009305_jpg-2936313.JPG That's a legislative goal of mine, a tax free holiday for guns @TheAlmightyYak. That’s one of the only guns i pretty much wore out. I have no idea how many rounds i put through it but I’m sure it would be measured in the 10s of thousands. It still worked but was just sloppy and a buddy of mine wanted to buy it. I took what he paid me and used it towards a 2206. Great pistols |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:38:31 PM EDT
[#41]
i got people (friends and relatives) in Tampa and St Pete, Palm Harbor, Gainesville, and Tallahassee
SOMEBODY's getting wet |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:40:00 PM EDT
[#42]
Latest water vapor satellite shot:
 You can find all the latest satellite shots here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php 
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:40:26 PM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Made it 82 miles into GA (stopped to eat). No traffic issues at all from Florida Turnpike to now up I75. Bunch of bucket trucks going south for a good while. Now up here they are stationed here and there off the exits in lots. Thanks for the realtime reports. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:40:43 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I’m under contract to buy a house in St. Pete at 11:30Am today that’s located in Zone A. It looks like I’m fucked. The house will likely be flooded within 24 hours of purchase. If you need hazard insurance, closing will be delayed as most companies will not start coverage when there is an active tropical storm or hurricane warning. If you are buying in Zone A, flood insurance is a really good idea. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:42:35 PM EDT
[#45]
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:43:34 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Latest water vapor satellite shot: https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/gm/08/GOES16-GM-08-1000x1000.gif You can find all the latest satellite shots here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/gm/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-GM-GEOCOLOR-1000x1000.gif It will basically impact all of the Gulf coast and panhandle before pushing across the state. That is not good. |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:44:20 PM EDT
[#47]
Water is pretty high here on the Imperial River. My dock is is only about 6" clear of it right now; tide is going out so hopefully the rest of the storm moves north before tomorrows high.
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:45:33 PM EDT
[#48]
Schools in Orlando cancelled for tomorrow, but my office is open. Unless it takes a sharp right turn in the next 24 hrs I think we'll be alright here.
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:47:02 PM EDT
[#49]
It is monstrous in size. Not a very well defined eye, but it’s got as much area as the entire state.
 Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2023 2:48:17 PM EDT
[#50]
So it begins. First squall line just moved through Brandon.
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