I disagree with many of his points but at the same time, good point are made, too.  The main points I disagree with are the impact of the depletion of nitrogen based fertilizers during this time and ultimately the cause of all of this who’s responsible for it.

Unfortunately, he also talks fast, so playing at a higher speed kind of defeats the purpose.

Unless I am remembering it wrong, these points are basically the same as Zeihan.

I sometimes wonder if everyone is coming to the same conclusions based on the data they see, or if all these other people are merely jumping on the disaster bandwagon. The answer to that is important because it is the difference between self promotion and world wide disaster.

Why do you disagree with his analysis of nitrogen fertilizer depletion?

Good watch. Most sheep aren't even paying attention.

Shrinkflation
In economics, shrinkflation, also known as the grocery shrink ray, getting doubly screwed (higher price for less product), or package downsizing, is the process of items shrinking in size or quantity, or even sometimes reformulating or reducing quality, while their prices remain the same or increase

With world war, a harsh winter with limited energy, and possible food shortages on the doorstep, they rave about climate change.  They are no longer just environmental wackos.  They are the #1 threat to humanity and Western civilization and should be dealt with accordingly.

Disclose.tv@disclosetv
2h
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NOW - UN Secretary-General claims "we are on a highway to climate hell."

https://gab.com/disclosetv/posts/109302240911393163

Disclose.tv@disclosetv
40m
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·

Edited
JUST IN - Conservative German CDU party demands a minimum penalty of 3 months imprisonment for climate activists who block streets and for attacks on cultural assets, such as paintings in museums.

"We are experiencing blind destruction. This can't continue," says CDU Secretary General.

https://gab.com/disclosetv/posts/109302590353234704



Disclose.tv@disclosetv
9m
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NEW - Survey by the Insa polling institute in Germany:

• 50% believe the govt's actions to address the energy crisis will not help them financially survive winter.
• 31% cannot afford to buy Christmas presents.
• 28% worry about not being able to pay their energy bills.

https://gab.com/disclosetv/posts/109302713402968924

He lists the reduction in nitrogen based fertilizers at 25% worldwide but doesn’t talk about the impact of shutting down the BASF plant in Germany and its impact alone with the rise in prices that will impact the farmers for future planting seasons.  Even in the short term, I just don’t think it will be a minor inconvenience to Europeans as he insinuates.

BASF is moving operations to China and the march towards a war with China will more that likely put Europe and the west in the same boat as the shutting down of the NordStream pipelines and shutting down BASF Germany.  BASF’s actions alone will cause major impacts that could last years and even decades.  Inflation and lower supplies will be a major thing for a while, too, which he doesn’t touch on.

Reading the comments, many point out that he didn’t talk about the droughts around the world that have impacted this seasons crop productions.

Disclose.tv@disclosetv
2h
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·

Edited
NEW - U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve has been drained for the 60th consecutive week to its lowest level in nearly 40 years.

This year's 33% decline is the largest on record.



https://gab.com/disclosetv/posts/109302769380651690

Michael Yon@MichaelYon
2 hours ago
Food: Everything you Buy Now is on Sale
If your preacher or Governor is not warning you to prepare, find a new one ASAP.

Looking at the real world out there
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I think it's very important to keep up-to-date with what's actually happening on the ground in our country.  The USA is big enough that one region may be experiencing problems that might not yet have reached others;  but we're all interconnected, so sooner or later those problems will make themselves felt in our areas too.

For example, last week it was announced that the diesel supply in the USA is down to no more than 25 days.  The shortage is particularly apparent in the southeastern states, especially on the Atlantic coast.  For those living there, this should be a wake-up call to make sure their food reserves are well filled, because every - literally, every - food delivery to distribution centers and supermarkets and restaurants relies at some point on diesel-powered transport.  The food may be available, but if it can't be shipped to where you and I can buy it, we're S.O.L.  Those living in other regions may be tempted to relax and say, "Well, the shortage isn't as bad here, so we'll be OK" - but they won't be OK, because their "excess" supply is sure and certain to be tapped to send more diesel to areas where the need is greater.  This sort of problem can spread with alarming speed.

There's also the fact that diesel fuel comes from the same distillate stream as home heating oil (here's looking at you, north-eastern USA!), jet fuel, farm diesel and other essential fuels.  If road diesel is in short supply, all of them will be short, too.  If refineries are forced to reconfigure their equipment to produce more diesel and associated fuels, the production of other fuels - for example, automotive gasoline or lubricating oil - must necessarily be reduced to accommodate that need;  and that may have a knock-on effect when it comes to filling our tanks at the gas station every week.  We live in an interconnected world, where a problem in one area can very easily become a problem in another before we have time to think about it.

Let's look at the availability of food.  In the past we've discussed the current drought, and how farmers and ranchers are being forced to reduce their herds due to the lack of fodder and grazing.  There doesn't appear to be much relief in sight for the next year or so, what with a third consecutive year of La Niña being forecast, which will produce ongoing drought in many of this country's most productive farming regions.  It's been predicted that meat may become so scarce (once herds have been depleted) that a pound of ground beef may fetch as much as $50 next year - more than ten times its present level (at least where I live).  Vegetable crops are also way down from normal levels.  Remember that the vegetables we've been eating this past year mostly come from 2021's crops, which were canned and/or frozen after being harvested.  The 2022 harvest is much smaller, so there'll be less to preserve and put on the shelves next year.  We're going to feel that pinch in higher prices in 2023 - while hoping for a better harvest to provide food in 2024.  La Niña may make that a pipe dream.
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https://bayourenaissanceman.blogspot.com/2022/11/looking-at-real-world-out-there.html

Nothing new but more fuel to the fire:



https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/gas-supplies-at-the-pump-dry-up-in-vietnam-forcing-stations-to-close-and-leaving-millions-of-drivers-struggling/ar-AA13OVtz?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=d87e8b5a04064e679419b43880815b04

I thought the US pushing Ukraine to have talks with Russia was going to be a good thing.



"Give Kremlin A Warning": US 'Nuclear Apocalypse' Submarine Enters Mediterranean Sea

\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8???? The US nuclear-powered submarine USS Rhode Island, dubbed the "rider of the apocalypse", has entered the Mediterranean Sea.
The submarine is capable of carrying 24 Trident II intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of engaging targets at ranges of up to

1/ pic.twitter.com/goAvJZsAED

— J. Malkova\uD83C\uDDF7\uD83C\uDDFA?? (@CanadianKitty1) November 5, 2022

https://www.zerohedge.com/military/give-kremlin-warning-us-nuclear-apocalypse-submarine-enters-mediterranean-sea

US NatGas Futures Jump As Frigid Weather Set To Swoop Across Country

US natural gas futures bottomed on Oct. 24 after a 50% haircut on warmer weather. In the last two weeks, prices have staged a rally on the prospect of cold weather and tighter supplies. Last Monday, we penned a note titled "US NatGas Spikes As Temperatures Are About To Dive Nationwide." Now, with colder weather sweeping across the US, NatGas prices are up a staggering 49% in eleven sessions.

On Monday morning alone, NatGas futures are up 10%. Bloomberg said the move higher is weather-related, "as a winter storm hits the Pacific Northwest and frigid weather is expected across most of the country."
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https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/us-natgas-futures-jump-frigid-weather-set-swoop-across-country

Michael Yon@MichaelYon
2 hours ago
Rail Strike
07 November 2022
Upland, California

My current working paradigm that OGUS/WEF are methodically destroying United States. OGUS/WEF wants this strike but do not want to lose those elections they do not control. OGUS/WEF obviously can steal some elections but not all.

Under my current working paradigm, this strike is likely to occur after elections.

TommyRobinsonOfficial@TommyRobinsonOfficial
2h
·
Despite the media blackout.

Brazilians are fighting for their freedom against Lula's socialist takeover.

The world is watching.

https://gab.com/TommyRobinsonOfficial/posts/109303276701517901

Never a good sign!


TommyRobinsonOfficial@TommyRobinsonOfficial
1h
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UK prime minister Rishi Sunak has just been rushed out of the room by his aides during the middle of the launch for forests partnership at COP27.

About 2 mins before he left an aide came onto stage and was whispering in his ear for more than a minute...there was a discussion going on about, it seems, whether to leave at that moment.

But Sunak stayed but another aide made decision to go back to him and urge him to leave 👀

https://gab.com/TommyRobinsonOfficial/posts/109303545845697500

TommyRobinsonOfficial@TommyRobinsonOfficial
1h
·
General strike across Brazil, the people out en masse again, military barracks under siege, they don't want to revert back to Lula's socialism.

https://gab.com/TommyRobinsonOfficial/posts/109304194984379060

Any additional info on this?

I was wondering the same thing. His face was telling a story as he was leaving.

Nothing other that a few articles on the original tweet and the follow-up tweet.  My guess it has something to do with Russia and proof Britain blew up the pipelines.  Just a guess.

UK prime minister @RishiSunak has just been rushed out of the room by his aides during the middle of the launch for forests partnership at #COP27 pic.twitter.com/OQy9TYkqpX

Leo Hickman  (@LeoHickman) November 7, 2022

About 2 mins before he left an aide came onto stage and was whispering in his ear for more than a minute...there was a discussion going on about, it seems, whether to leave at that moment. But Sunak stayed but another aide made decision to go back to him and urge him to leave pic.twitter.com/F2xSJc0sEw

Leo Hickman  (@LeoHickman) November 7, 2022

Evidently, there’s a history of conflict between the Russians and Britains (Anglo Saxons) that goes back centuries.  Putin has mentioned “Anglo Saxons” in several speeches lately, so this is directed towards Britain rather that the West as a whole.

I’m about halfway through this podcast but will post if anyone is interested in zipping through it.  The first part is a little dry but interesting enough that I want to finish it as I think the second half will have more detailed info about what’s going on today..

It is well past started in a number of poorer countries and is quite serious, primarily in Africa at this point.  The middle east is not suffering as badly since they have a slightly larger ability to outbid the Africans for imported food.  Starvation is not uncommon for the region of Africa, but the starvation rates in 2022 are higher than 2021, which were higher than 2020.

It may not matter to America since they can't walk across an ocean.  They can walk to Europe, and have been for some time already.

I went to Wal-Mart this evening and walked down the chips aisle for he first time in a while.  What caught my eye was the tall skinny bags of Doritos.  The regular looking bags were about $5/ea.  I didn’t catch the price of the new tall skinny bags as I was mesmerized by the new packaging shape.  

May as well put them in a Pringles can.

Rank and File RR labor would much prefer a good contract rather than strike,  we ain't making money during a strike...

Here is an informative article,  Wilner is an industry shill but his work tends to have solid info.  It's a wordy article,  practically "War and Peace" by ARF standards but I suggest you read it all and pay close attention to the 'Post Script" portion.  

https://www.railwayage.com/freight/class-i/rail-labor-update-a-fubar-lurks/?RAchannel=news

TexasScout@TexasScout
9h
·
·
Meme Warfare
The employment situation in one pic

https://gab.com/TexasScout/posts/109303972692596004

Not in my area. In my area its "I am capable of doing nothing and will just collect welfare instead of making more by working". Oh' and it will take two people to try to get the same work done that one would have done 10 years ago.

Thanks for posting.  Very thorough.

If the strike does happen, I’m sure we’ll hear calls for nationalization of the railroads again.

There is no problem so bad that it can't be made worse by adding more government.

China will focus on preparing for WAR, Xi Jinping declares: President says nation's 'security is increasingly unstable and uncertain'

- Chinese President Xi Jinping today said Beijing will strengthen military training and prepare for any war
- Xi's announcement will raise fears that China may invade Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own  
- China, which has second-largest military in world, has threatened to annex Taiwan by force if necessary

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11403145/China-focus-preparing-WAR-Xi-Jinping-declares.html

They have been preparing for war for decades and we have made it financially possible.

War is coming.

As well as intellectually possible by handing over missile and nuclear technology.

Yep, none of this happened overnight.

Brazilian Leaders and Military Reportedly Planning to Release Evidence of a Corrupted Election This Week

There are reports that Brazilian leaders are planning on releasing information regarding the corruption in the recent election.

The report will show that the election was stolen from Bolsonaro.

The Brazilian leaders are working with the military on uncovering the election issues with the corrupted election that took place only days ago.

One of the Justices, Alexandre Moraes, is a real monster.  He is threatening to imprison people for protesting a rigged election.

Matthew Tyrmand also reports on this monster of a corrupt judge.

In addition to all this, some goons in New York invited the corrupt Lula gang into New York to celebrate democracy.

This is almost as bad as US elections.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/11/brazilian-leaders-military-reportedly-planning-releasing-evidence-corrupted-election-today/

If there’s that many people looking into it, they invited him to make political asylum easier

Warren Buffet will not be pleased.

The two most telling locations from last night’s elections are PA & AZ.  



Michael Yon@MichaelYon
11 minutes ago
2022 Arizona Banana Republic Elections — ongoing
And look who I ran into going to breakfast. No sitting by me at breakfast table.

Must to say.

Bottom line for the moment — something is very wrong with the Republic. We all know that. No free speech. Fraudulent elections. Catastrophic war in Ukraine…witness as Europe melts.

Nigel Farage came to Phoenix from I don’t know where, blogging beside me. And others from all over the world. I came in from Bangkok to Phoenix. When your town Phoenix attracts a war correspondent from the other side of the planet for election day…follow the signs.

TommyRobinsonOfficial@TommyRobinsonOfficial
2h
·
Protests and clashes infront of the Greek Parliament in Athens.

Molotov cocktails thrown as the people rise up over high energy and food costs.

https://gab.com/TommyRobinsonOfficial/posts/109314757423929427

DIGITAL ID - Will be linked to CBDC’s which will also control

\uD83D\uDCF2 Your personal carbon footprint
\uD83D\uDCF2 What you drive
\uD83D\uDCF2 Where you go
\uD83D\uDCF2 How many flights you take
\uD83D\uDCF2 How much home energy you use.

With social credit bonus points for being a ‘good’ citizen. Don’t comply \uD83D\uDD25

— Bernie's Tweets (@BernieSpofforth) November 8, 2022

DIGITAL ID will be linked to CBDC’s, and together they will track & control

Your personal carbon footprint - how big it is allowed to be.
What you drive, where you're allowed, how far and how often.
How many flights you take and where.
How much home energy you use to heat and cool your home.
How much meat you can consume.
How much gas you're allowed for your vehicle.
What you're allowed to say, in public, on social media, and at work.
How you're allowed to withdraw AND spend your money.
Doctor visits and surgeries, if allowed.
Weapon purchases... if they aren't declined outright.

I wish I knew Nigel was in town, I would have loved to meet him.

I fully agree with MY here.  The fact that no winners are even declared in Arizona yet is a strategy to discourage voting.  Less votes means it’s much easier to rig an election.

They have the ability to track millions of people and document everything they do but they cannot determine the rightful winners of an election within hours of the polls closing?  This type of shit affects the votes of citizens of other states and weakens our political voices, too.

We are way beyond a political solution that involves elections of any type at this point.  Our apathy ensures that others will determine that solution for us and it will not be good to say the least.



Michael Yon@MichaelYon
1 hour ago
‘Electing’ and Appointing Caligula’s Horses
10 November 2022

These are installed to demoralize The People. To make The People more supplicant. Undermine the system. To show that Caligula can install horses or dog kings and drag queens into military uniform or high office.

There are many Caligula’s Horses. The more absurd ‘the better.’

I heard there were more foreign media in Arizona on Tuesday than at events held during past Presidential elections.  Your state is Ground Zero for the midterm elections and is proving the point with each passing hour.

11 Signs That Economic Activity Is Plunging Off A Cliff

#1 This year, only 74 percent of Americans will celebrate Thanksgiving because so many people are skipping the holiday in order to save money…

In 2021, researchers note that an IPSOS survey found that nine in 10 Americans planned to celebrate Thanksgiving. This year, the new poll of 1,000 people found that number has fallen to just 74 percent. In fact, 47 percent say they’re celebrating “Friendsgiving” because of its more budget-friendly menu. Specifically, just 24 percent of Friendsgiving celebrations will even have a turkey on the table, with 33 percent opting for a pizza instead!

#2 Used vehicle prices have just plunged at the fastest pace that we have seen since 2008.

#3 A Dollar General assistant manager named Travis Bennett recently posted a video on TikTok that showed unsold inventory at his store literally piling up to the roof…

In a video with over 380,000 views addressed to “anyone inside this company that actually cares,” TikTok user Travis Bennett shows the conditions of his Dollar General. This includes boxes filling the aisles and numerous crates that have not been unpacked. Bennett says this is typical for “most Dollar General stores across the country.”

#4 Consumer confidence in the housing market just hit an all-time record low.

#5 All over America, companies are seeing depressingly low sales numbers.  In fact, it is being reported that the Net Rising Index “is getting close to a level which corresponds to several past recessions”…

A closely watched survey from the National Association for Business Economics has shown a decline in sales for companies that hasn’t been this sharp since the mid-2020 Covid crash and is getting close to a level which corresponds to several past recessions. The Net Rising Index (NRI) for sales — the percentage of survey respondents reporting rising sales minus the percentage reporting falling sales — peaked at 74% of firms in April 2021. As of October, it’s down to 36%.

#6 CNN is reporting that Facebook could start laying off thousands of workers “as early as this week”.

#7 Other large tech companies are also conducting mass layoffs, and many believe that what we have experienced so far is just the tip of the iceberg.

#8 Credit card debt growth has fallen to the lowest level in 4 months.

#9 20 million U.S. households are behind on paying their power bills.

#10 37 percent of all small business owners were not able to pay their rent on time during the month of October.

#11 A poll that was just released found that a whopping 73 percent of Americans will be “thinking a lot about the economy” when they vote.

The fact that voters are so focused on the economy right now appears to be really bad news for Democrats.

The guy in the White House always gets most of the credit or most of the blame for how the economy is performing, and right now Joe Biden’s approval rating is downright dismal…

Voters’ approval of President Joe Biden remains deep in negative territory and 70 percent of voters say the country is on the wrong track — both results that bode ill for Democrats as Election Day approaches.

Fifty-five percent of registered voters said they disapprove of the job Biden is doing as president, and just 42 percent said they approve in the last POLITICO-Morning Consult poll conducted in advance of Tuesday’s election.

Of course Joe Biden is still going to be in the White House no matter what happens during the midterm elections.

In fact, either he or Kamala Harris will be residing there until at least January 2025.

So there won’t be any major policy changes for the foreseeable future.



- more at link -


https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/11-signs-economic-activity-plunging-cliff

#11 missed the mark by 87 miles.

I'm not sure I agree with that.  We tend to think that if voters are thinking about the poor economy, then they blame the Democrats.  But the narrative being pushed is that we need more socialism, not more freedom, and many voters seem to agree.  You would think voters would blame the party in power.  But many voters blame the Republicans for "getting in the way."

I have to agree.  I think about the economy a lot these days but it never even popped into my mind as I voted.  

I think what your pointing out is a sign of the power of persuasion and the effects of a defeated, demoralized populous.

We have been told so much lately to expect problems that we forget what life was like when problems were an anomaly rather than the new normal.

Things that happen far away and out of sight...


British Nuclear Submarine With Trident II Missile Catches Fire, Aborts 'secret Mission'

Emergency situation was declared by the ship’s captain as the fire that spread quickly forced the submarine to float to the surface at an undisclosed location.

British Navy’s Vanguard-class nuclear submarine HMS Victorious on Monday, Nov 7 aborted the “top secret mission” after it caught massive fire, a Sunday article published by The Sun revealed. The vessel's 130-plus crew, including those off-duty, responded to the fire incident by dousing the electrical fire aboard. The submarine was carrying the Trident 2 nuclear ICBMs when the submarine went into flames.

An emergency situation was declared by the ship’s captain as the fire that spread quickly forced the submarine to float to the surface at an undisclosed location in the North Atlantic.  A Navy source told The Sun that “every seagoing member of the Royal Navy is a qualified fire-fighter." Further, he noted that the British ships and submarines were able to respond to such incidents with immediate effect without it compromising the operational outputs of the vessels. The massive damage caused by the fire prompted the submarine’s captain to abandon an unspecified “top secret mission” the source stated. The vessel was then commanded to return to base at HMNB Clyde in Faslane, Scotland.

UK submarine collides with Russian submarine

In a rare incident in history since the Cold War era, a towed sonar array trailing behind the Royal Navy's warship collided with a Russian Navy submarine, the UK Ministry of Defence said. Royal Navy's Type 23 frigate HMS Northumberland collided with a Russian Navy submarine in the North Atlantic Ocean in 2020. During the collision, the vessels of both countries were damaged. It is worth noting that the latest revelation was first disclosed in a recent episode of the television show Warship: Life At Sea. The television show telecasts the day-to-day operations of an actual Royal Navy warship.

"Television footage captures the moment crew onboard HMS Northumberland sounds the alarm, shouting 'what the hell was that,' 'shit,' 'what the f*** have I just hit' as the boat crashes into its towed array sonar," The Drive published the quote from a report of The Times newspaper. The incident was one of the rarest of its kind as the latest vessels are now equipped with advanced sensors and sonars that help the Captain keep an eye more precisely.

https://www.republicworld.com/world-news/uk-news/british-nuclear-submarine-with-trident-ii-missile-catches-fire-aborts-secret-mission-articleshow.html

Does that mean they already “know” the results?



Disclose.tv@disclosetv
11m
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NEW - Arizona election results delayed until after weekend, Maricopa officials say.

https://www.disclose.tv/id/1590797761360064512/




Kari Lake interview -


https://rumble.com/embed/v1qr70g/?pub=4