Can’t even stand to watch him any more.

ISW assessment for July 31st.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-31

Jfc, knock it off with the pipe hitter shit, we all know what he meant.

I think it’s an interesting possibility.  You plan for capabilities not intents.  From the Russian perspective (and everyone’s) the Ukrainian intent is clearly to take Kherson and surroundings.  That said, what is their capability and where is it actually located.  Ukraine is now known to have a significant number of tanks (their own, plus captured, plus donated) and an unknown but reasonably large number of APCs.  Tanks and APCs are what make an offensive in the Blitzkrieg model.  So where are they?  I think it’s reasonable to say that we’ve never seen Ukrainian tanks appear in large numbers.  Are they around Kherson, or somewhere else?  Figuring out where their armored force is should tell you where they plan a large scale offensive.  However, it’s also possibly they just don’t see good odds in a large scale offensive due to their own logistical shortcomings.  Maybe they’re using their tanks as mobile fire brigades to stop breakthroughs rather than execute a breakthrough.  We really just don’t know.
Which brings me to the question of an offensive at Kherson or somewhere else.
1)The Russian position at Kherson and the west bank of the Dnepr is the most strategically dangerous to Ukraine in the long run.  Ukraine could withdraw all the way to the Dnepr in the east and not be in a terrible position to recover that territory eventually.  However failing to eject Russia from Kherson leaves the way open to Odessa, Transnistria, and western Ukraine.  Kherson is also the most direct gateway to Crimea, the single biggest strategic objective for Russia which they MUST HAVE.  Kherson is low risk in that Ukraine has a safe right flank and a relatively safe left flank, and relatively direct resupply routes.
2)An offensive southward on the east side of the Dnepr is potentially high-reward but very high-risk.  Yes, they can split South and East forces, but what does this actually buy them?  A drive to the coast is exposed from three sides and does not actually cut off supply from Russia to Crimea or Crimea to south Ukraine.  Supply is relatively straightforward from Zaporizhia, but also exposed on the flank.  Getting their main force stalled and cut off would be nothing short of disastrous.  Ukraine has also shown no ability to execute a major offensive, and learning on the fly in a situation that can decide the fate of your nation is not a great risk to take.
3)What I do think is possible is that Ukraine feints at Kherson but then puts all their force into Nova Kharkova.  Take Nova Kharkova and then pivot south cuts Kherson off and puts Ukaine in position to bottle up Crimea.  This is riskier than a direct attack on Kherson but probably not as risky as an offensive east of the Dnepr.  It’s also high-reward by potentially netting a lot of prisoners in Kherson and cutting off resupply for the Russian southern front.
4)Another possibility while all eyes are on Kherson is either A) an attack from the Kharkiv area toward GLOCs around Izyum. Or B) an attack by Ukraine from Kharkiv directly into Russia, possibly to cut GLOCs to the Northeastern forces inside Russia, and basically do a smash and grab of whatever they find there.

Even if Ukraine executes a successful kettle at Kherson they end up with a river in the way and no permanent bridges to cross it. I do t think they have the equipment, training and sophistication to cross a river of that size under fire.

In a disturbing note, this gets filed under “Same sh&t, different century.”  Ethnic cleansing and re-populating in Melitopol. From the ISW assessment today.



Is there a crime the guys will NOT commit?

Seems the strategy is to just trap Russkies in Kherson.

Your kidding right?
We chose the name Pipe Hitter Foundation paying respect to the term used to describe someone you want with you during tough situations, someone who has your back and is willing to sacrifice and work hard to get the job done-The Pipe Hitters.

Getting Kherson back and the Russians back across the River would be a big win. I would guess they would then switch to better offensive opportunities out East than attempt to attack across the river.

@CleverNickname

Before you try being an edge lord with your "which is it" demands maybe its best to know wtf your talking about and especially who the fuck your talking too.(Gentlemanfarmer, damn sure isnt repeating russian propaganda when he is to busy killing them). pipe hitter doesn't mean crack smokers when talking terms of combat involving SOF or any other bad asses that know there shit behind a trigger. And gentlemanfarmer damn sure knows wtf he's talking about. He's prolly helped killed more Russians in the past month than you can talk shit about in a lifetime.

Pipehitters union
Pipehitter foundation

Attached File

The first documented loss of the valuable Russian electronic warfare complex "Layer-2" based on the "Tiger" chassis
It was destroyed in the spring, probably in the Mykolaiv region. This is a fairly modern system, the first copies of which entered Russian service back in 2012.

????? ??????????????? ?????? ??????? ??????????? ????????? ???????????????? ???????? «????-2» ?? ???? ???? «????»

???? ??????? ?? ???????, ????????, ? ????????????? ???????. ?? ?????? ??????? ???????, ????? ?????????? ???? ???????? ?? ????????? ?????? ?? ? 2012 ????. pic.twitter.com/8iPCvYKHzb

— ?SLAN (@antiputler_news) August 1, 2022

#Ukraine: Ukrainian forces of the 92nd Mechanized Brigade captured a fully functioning Russian MT-LBVM/K armoured vehicle during fighting late last month.pic.twitter.com/l0B3etabZm

— \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) August 1, 2022

#Ukraine: A Russian BTR-82A APC was captured by the 93rd Mechanized Brigade of Ukraine in the vicinity of Izium, #Kharkiv Oblast. It appears that it carries parade markings. pic.twitter.com/Vkn8CywGfN

— \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) August 1, 2022

Footage of Antonovsky bridge pontoon crossing

??????????? ????. ????????? pic.twitter.com/aOrzXKbC9O

IgorGirkin  (@GirkinGirkin) August 1, 2022

https://m.antikor.com.ua/articles/564108-vojska_rf_ustanovili_otrahateli_vdolj_antonovskogo_mosta_chtoby_uberechjsja_ot_udarov_vsu__isw
Russians installed “radar reflectors” on the bridge to prevent HIMARS strikes.

\uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7Great Britain will give warships to Ukraine, - Ambassador of Ukraine Vadym Prystaiko.

“Our military is already undergoing training. They control the ship and weapons. There will be several such ships” - Vadym said. pic.twitter.com/a7mVFeCFCZ

— ???????English (@TpyxaNews) August 1, 2022

\uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6Ukraine’s Deputy Defence Minister Volodymyr Havrylov and UK Minister for the Armed Forces, James Heappey MP, visited a Sandown Class mine hunter at sea to witness first-hand the training being provided to Ukrainian sailors in a deal agreed last year under the UNCEP. pic.twitter.com/UBNWoAnMsZ

— ZMiST (@ZMiST_Ua) July 31, 2022

Russian source claims impending encirclement of UA forces in Soledar.

@wargonzo's sources in the direction of Soledar report that the Armed Forces of Ukraine began to retreat from Soledar in the direction of the cities of Chasov Yar, Kramatorsk, Konstantinovka. Retreating, the Ukrainian nationalists are trying to inflict maximum fire damage on the civilian infrastructure of the abandoned settlements.
The Russian allied troops continue to take the fortified areas of the enemy, encircling Soledar in a ring. Intense fighting continues in the Soledar direction. Works aviation, MLRS

https://t.me/wargonzo/7720


Ukrainian news-
In Donetsk region, the Russians are storming Bakhmut, carrying out combat reconnaissance and sending saboteurs

The enemy also tried to conduct assaults in the directions of Vershyn and Soledar, but was unsuccessful and retreated.

The Russians are advancing in the direction of Bakhmut, where hostilities continue.
This is stated in the summary of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In the Slavyansk direction, the enemy carried out fire damage near Chepil, Protopopivka, Hrushuvaha, Husarivka, Dibrivny, Mazanivka, Krasnopilly, Dolyna and Barvinkovy. With the forces of the reconnaissance group, he tried to clarify the location of the positions of our troops in the direction of Mazanivka, but was unsuccessful, the group withdrew.
https://www.unian.ua/war/rosiyani-nastupayut-na-bahmut-bahmut-provodyat-rozvidku-boyem-novini-vtorgnennya-rosiji-v-ukrajinu-11924508.html

The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02 to 01.08 were approximately:

Personnel Warehouse / personnel - close / about 41030 (+200) persons were liquidated / persons were liquidated,
tanks / tanks тан 1768 (+5) od,
Combat Armored Machines / APV (+ 4011 (+7) Od,
artillery systems - 932 (+16) od,
RSZV / MLRS - 259 (+0) from,
Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 117 (+0) from,
planes / aircraft-223 (+0) od,
helicopters-190 (+0) od,
UAV operational-tactical level - 736 (+1)
winged missiles / cruise missiles - 174 (+0),
ships / boats / warships / boats - 15 (+0) from,
Automobile equipment and autocistern / vehicles and fuel tanks - 2912 (+10) od,
special equipment - 82 (+2).

The opponent suffered the biggest losses in the Donetsk and Kryvyi Rih directions. / Russian enemy suffered the greatest losses (of the past day) at the Donetsk and Kryvyi Rih directions.

🤞

First ship carrying Ukrainian grain leaves the port of Odesa https://t.co/5CmJ00eYNH

RitaBuyse  (@ACOMRB) August 1, 2022

UA infrastructure minister FB post
UPD: the first ship with Ukrainian food came out of Odessa port

Today at 09:15 for the first time since February 24, we expect the departure of the ship from Odessa port, which is loaded with Ukrainian food. This is the RAZONI ship, which is under the Sierra Leone flag heading to the port of Tripoli in Lebanon. It will move the corridor, the security of which has been confirmed by our guarantor partners - the UN and Turkey. On his board 26 thousand tons of Ukrainian corn.

Ukraine is the 4th-largest corn exporter in the world, so the possibility of exporting it via ports is a colossal success in ensuring global food security.

Today Ukraine, together with partners, takes another step to prevent world hunger. Unlocking ports will provide at least $1 billion in foreign exchange revenue to the economy and an opportunity for the agricultural sector to plan for next year.

We are grateful to the partners who, despite the difficulties, did not stop the export preparation work. Together with the representatives of the United Nations and Turkey, the internal operational regulations have already been worked. On its part, Ukraine has done everything to restore the work of ports and all active enterprises. It is important to note the unuhilʹnu support from American and European partners on the way to unblocking Ukrainian seaports

It was a hard journey of 3 months. All this time, the process of negotiations and agreement on security issues was controlled by President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky. We worked in coordination with the Head of the Office of the President Andriy Ermak and the Head of the Main Intelligence Department of the Ministry of the Ministry Kiril Budanov for the support of the government team of Prime Minister Denis Shmigal.

I am grateful to the Armed Forces of Ukraine for the opportunity to negotiate on Ukrainian conditions.

16 more ships are waiting for their turn in the ports of Great Odessa. These are the ships that have been blocked since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion. In parallel, we will receive applications for the arrival of new vessels to load agricultural products.

In the coming weeks, with the support of our partners, we plan to reach full capacity of agricultural products transfer.

https://a4f938-c97-org.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/a4f938.c97.org/ru/news/2022/8/1/509304/

Belarus has deployed electronic warfare systems on the border with Ukraine
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine spoke about the activity of Lukashenka's troops near the Ukrainian border.

The Ukrainian military continues to monitor military movements on the territory of Belarus.

In the areas bordering Ukraine, the Belarusian military has deployed additional electronic warfare (EW) systems. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports this in its summary .

Last week, on July 28, a missile attack was launched from the Zyabrovka airfield near Gomel in Ukraine. As confirmed by British intelligence, Russian troops launched at least 20 missiles from Belarusian territory.



https://t.me/Hajun_BY/5145
Monitoring of military activity on the territory of Belarus from 00:00 to 23:59 31.07:

1. 01:00. Highway P31, Mozyr → Yelsk. The PAZ Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus was moving, which was full of people.

2. 10:00. Highway P88, Turov (Zhitkovichi district) → Zhitkovichi. UAZ 2206 VS RB was moving.

3. 11:30 am. Highway M10, Ivanovo → Pinsk. An awning KamAZ of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus was moving, which was full of soldiers.

4. 4:40 p.m. Highway M10, a.g. Zaschebye (Rechitsa district) → Kalinkovichi. The awning Ural was moving without insignia.

@Hajun_by

https://ria.ru/20220801/serbiya-1806365692.html

Senator Dzhabarov promises indirect assistance to Serbia if conflict escalates

MOSCOW, August 1 - RIA Novosti. In the event of an aggravation of the situation between Serbia and Kosovo, Russia will provide assistance to Belgrade without entering into a conflict, Vladimir Dzhabarov, first deputy head of the international committee of the Federation Council, told RIA Novosti on Monday.
There were riots in northern Kosovo over a planned ban on entry by Pristina with Serbian numbers and documents, which was to come into force on 1 August. The authorities of Kosovo first pulled the police there, but after the call of the United States, they postponed the ban that caused tension in the province for a month. Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić said on Monday night that he expects a reduction in tension in Kosovo - Belgrade , according to him, will do everything possible for this.
"It is very dangerous, it is the center of Europe , and (everything) can end very sadly, because NATO forces are stationed there (in Kosovo) ," Dzhabarov said. He believes that this situation "may end in an armed conflict, and as soon as NATO countries get in there, of course, there is a danger that other countries that are allies of Serbia will be drawn in."

Local news seems like it’s deescalating.
https://www.srbijadanas.com/vesti/kosovo/uzivo-srbi-proveli-noc-na-barikadama-na-severu-osvanuli-bilbordi-dobro-dosli-u-zso-2022-08-01
Citizens set up barricades in the north of Kosovo and Metohija yesterday, after the announcement by Pristina that the decision on re-registration of vehicles and ID cards will start on August 1. Main roads were blocked, as well as the Jarinje and Brnjak administrative crossings. However, at the behest of the US, the government of the temporary Pristina institutions decided to postpone the implementation of the decision for 30 days. This morning, traffic is functioning normally on Merdar, while there are no changes on Jarinje

Now everyone is going to be over using the term "Pipe Hitter", just like they do "Kit".

UA troops in contact.

??? ?????? ?????? 92 ???? ?? ???????????? ????????.

????? ??????? ?? ?? ?????? \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6

?????? ??????? \uD83D\uDD25
?? pic.twitter.com/qPC0oRtPjm

— ?SLAN (@antiputler_news) August 1, 2022

Smoking barrel.

Captured Russians being shown the castration video.
https://t.me/ragnarockkyiv/32262

Third brother in the Long Hand family - MLRS MARS II from Germany - has arrived in Ukraine.
Thank you to Germany and personally to my colleague #DefenceMinister Christine Lambrecht for these systems.
Our artillerymen salute our German partners!
\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83E\uDD1D\uD83C\uDDE9\uD83C\uDDEA#StandWithUkraine pic.twitter.com/oapPzNjRjf

Oleksii Reznikov  (@oleksiireznikov) August 1, 2022

And bomb them to death until they surrender.

Make it a Mariupol, just not as long.

LOL that's going to be super effective against rockets/artillery that use a blended inertial and GPS guidance system. Maybe the Russians think Ukraine will try to shoot the bridge with AMRAAMs?

I saw Pulp Fiction in the theatres (and a few dozen times on TV) and always assumed "pipe hitter" meant a brutal tough guy who likes to hurt people or does it professionally. Makes much more sense than calling on a bunch of Hunter Biden type guys to torture someone.

When I was working the streets as a rookie cop in the 90's, I never heard of a crack head referred to as a "pipe hitter". I've heard "hitting the pipe" or "sucking the glass dick", "crack monster, rock star, crack whore..." and a few others though. But never "pipe hitter".

But I guess I would find it very interesting talking to either type of "pipe hitter" from Ukraine.

I was scratching my head trying to figure out how a corner reflector was going to help there. Probably a lot like the cope cages on their tanks. A nice, feel-good action. One has to wonder how good their intel on western weapons must be if they're doing something this ridiculous. Not that I'm complaining, mind you.

I saw that the other day, but didn't post because they can't be that stupid I thought.   ISW confirmed that info as well last night.   Guess they really are that stupid.

For those that don't know, those radar reflectors will do nothing to deter Western made long range guided artillery systems.

We went months without Ukraine claiming much in the way of Russian artillery and MLRS kills to seeing almost 10 to 20 such kills per day.  I'm guessing the counterbattery radars are helping.

Probably an attempt to prevent or interfere with radar observation of traffic crossing it or prevent the radar to determine what is crossing.  

They may also what to complicate any plans to attack it during crossing of significant combat power by obscuring any radar derived picture.