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Originally Posted By MarineGrunt: https://twitter.com/LauraLoomer/status/1698518761194602634?s=20 You guys see the new one? Ukraine was responsible for Jan 6 now. View Quote If the Qanon Shaman says a Uke Nazi spy did it, who can dispute that? I’ll confirm with my recently passed cat Miss Cleo. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By stgdz: Russia does all that stuff because of our tech. We pulled that plug and it will stay out for awhile. View Quote And that's a good thing. They're number 3 in world oil production. Number 3 in wheat. Number 2 in fertilizer. Even if it's our tech. Because regardless of how bad their government is, the more of this stuff is pumped into the world the better we (and the world) are off. We're trying to cripple them, not destroy them. Maybe, hopefully change them one day, but by being a great example to follow a beacon of light, not through destruction. |
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Originally Posted By Auto5guy: Propagandists are not mentally ill. They know exactly what they are doing. They know why they're doing it. Hell they're getting paid for it. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Auto5guy: Originally Posted By Jaehaerys: Originally Posted By MarineGrunt: https://twitter.com/LauraLoomer/status/1698518761194602634?s=20 You guys see the new one? Ukraine was responsible for Jan 6 now. Over the past couple of years, I've come to the conclusion that mental illness is far more prevalent than I previously thought. It also hasn't exactly been reassuring to realize that it's by no means limited to one side of the political spectrum. Propagandists are not mentally ill. They know exactly what they are doing. They know why they're doing it. Hell they're getting paid for it. Can I work from home part-time on a gig like that? 💰💰💰💰 |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By thanosnap: And that's a good thing. They're number 3 in world oil production. Number 3 in wheat. Number 2 in fertilizer. Even if it's our tech. Because regardless of how bad their government is, the more of this stuff is pumped into the world the better we (and the world) are off. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By stgdz: Russia does all that stuff because of our tech. We pulled that plug and it will stay out for awhile. And that's a good thing. They're number 3 in world oil production. Number 3 in wheat. Number 2 in fertilizer. Even if it's our tech. Because regardless of how bad their government is, the more of this stuff is pumped into the world the better we (and the world) are off. Not when that part of the world has a galaxy brain retard with a gun to the rest of the world. |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Well, aside from the loose nukes possibility this is the main problem. Here's global oil output: https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/16274.jpeg Here's global wheat production. A lot of people eat bread or feed livestock with wheat: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina-Mereu/publication/277007923/figure/fig1/AS:749503481118721@1555706963235/List-of-the-largest-wheat-producing-countries-FAOStat-2011.png Here's global fertilizer producers: https://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/styles/wysiwyg/public/media/images/2022-06/fertilizer-IATR-2.png?itok=ojlaD6o7 What then happens to the economy? Russia feeds and powers much of the world. We can produce for ourselves because we are a top producer, but our economy is so globalized... Even if nukes aren't lost, how many people die just because we don't like the Russian government? How many people have their quality of life reduced? View Quote Do you understand that private businesses can still produce goods if a government collapses, especially when the goods are extraction and agriculture? Nobody needs the Russian government, most especially Russians. The best thing in the world would be for Putin, all his cronies, the siloviki, and the entire FSB to be lynched or shot wherever they are found (or poisoned, drowned, or thrown from windows). The world needs a new Russia that is willing to trade peacefully with its neighbors, not genocide them. Stop defending authoritarianism by saying it's too disruptive or risky to eliminate it. |
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: The trend is spreading.
https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1698773626135130112/3RtJbnHW?format=jpg&name=900x900 https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-really-is-using-tires-to-protect-its-bombers-from-attack View Quote New drone game: Get the drones inside the jet inlet! |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Well, the collapse happened under the elder Bush, who was Raegan's VP, and much of the same administration. And at the time they were like "oh crap, what about the nukes! They need to stay together." That's undeniable. Sorry if that makes me look like an idiot but its the truth. And today Russia just isn't that important that we should destroy them and need to worry about loose nukes or people (not just in Russia but around the world) unable to feed themselves or put gas in their car or fertilizer on their crops. There might have been a time in the 70s when they were. And "tear down that wall" was about ending the occupation and reuniting East/West Germany. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By Auto5guy: /media/mediaFiles/sharedAlbum/476-342.gif Reagan made all the intellectuals who said the Soviets couldn't be defeated and that he was going to start a nuclear war by trying, look really really stupid. The ivy league idiots have been trying to revise history ever since. Well, the collapse happened under the elder Bush, who was Raegan's VP, and much of the same administration. And at the time they were like "oh crap, what about the nukes! They need to stay together." That's undeniable. Sorry if that makes me look like an idiot but its the truth. And today Russia just isn't that important that we should destroy them and need to worry about loose nukes or people (not just in Russia but around the world) unable to feed themselves or put gas in their car or fertilizer on their crops. There might have been a time in the 70s when they were. And "tear down that wall" was about ending the occupation and reuniting East/West Germany. No, it's not the truth. At. All. Or, even close. We knew they were going to collapse because we were causing their collapse! *THAT* is undeniable. (As Reagan said, "we win, they lose"). We also knew what was going to happen to the nukes, which was nothing. And, no, "tear down this wall" was specifically referring to the iron curtain of the Soviet Union. It was given at the Brandenburg Gate between East and West Berlin as that was *the* symbol of the iron curtain surrounding the Soviet Union. Again, lack of historical knowledge leads one to spectacularly wrong conclusions about current events and what should be current policy. We need to cause the collapse of Russia, like we did to the USSR before it, so that they can never again threaten their neighbors or cause instability worldwide. |
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Originally Posted By Prime: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F5MdbEkWsAEVzSp?format=jpg&name=large
View Quote I don't see the point of the frigate camo and the ones like it. The whole point of most navy camo when it was done was to make it hard to visually determine course and speed. That just makes the ship kinda look smaller so just aim for the center? |
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"I expect to die in bed, my successor will die in prison and his successor will die a martyr in the public square." - Francis Cardinal George, OMI, Archbishop Emeritus of Chicago
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Well, aside from the loose nukes possibility this is the main problem. Here's global oil output: https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/16274.jpeg Here's global wheat production. A lot of people eat bread or feed livestock with wheat: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina-Mereu/publication/277007923/figure/fig1/AS:749503481118721@1555706963235/List-of-the-largest-wheat-producing-countries-FAOStat-2011.png Here's global fertilizer producers: https://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/styles/wysiwyg/public/media/images/2022-06/fertilizer-IATR-2.png?itok=ojlaD6o7 What then happens to the economy? Russia feeds and powers much of the world. We can produce for ourselves because we are a top producer, but our economy is so globalized... Even if nukes aren't lost, how many people die just because we don't like the Russian government? How many people have their quality of life reduced? View Quote We can up production of oil, it ain't a secret we have the reserves. If the dunce in charge would let fly with leases, we could shut them down cold. We can switch from ethanol for fuel to wheat with no issues at all and take up the slack on food. Farmers could make some better money with wheat anyway. Ethanol in the gas is bullshit, and unnecessary. Once their broke dick asses are desperate, we buy fertilizer at a discount rate from them. I imagine if the price goes up, we can find other sources besides russia. If it was worth it, we can mine it here. Just like lots of other stuff we don't bother with because it isn't worth it because of price. We have the means and ability. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By elcope: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/F5Nn38eW8AAEikt?format=png&name=900x900 View Quote |
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"I do believe that some gun laws are needed and yes, I am a Republican" ~ tc556guy - NRA Member
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Originally Posted By Lieh-tzu: Do you understand that private businesses can still produce goods if a government collapses, especially when the goods are extraction and agriculture? View Quote Not if the ruble is worthless. A currency these days is only backed by its government. Not if the oil well heads in the permafrost Siberia freeze over again. It would take at least decade to re-drill again. We would actually need to send them aid again to get this stuff going again. I suppose there will always be farming though, it would just be much tougher. |
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: We can up production of oil, it ain't a secret we have the reserves. If the dunce in charge would let fly with leases, we could shut them down cold. We can switch from ethanol for fuel to wheat with no issues at all and take up the slack on food. Farmers could make some better money with wheat anyway. Ethanol in the gas is bullshit, and unnecessary. Once their broke dick asses are desperate, we buy fertilizer at a discount rate from them. I imagine if the price goes up, we can find other sources besides russia. If it was worth it, we can mine it here. Just like lots of other stuff we don't bother with because it isn't worth it because of price. We have the means and ability. View Quote Yeah we would be fine. I'm talking about the rest of the world. And the rest of the world does affect our economy. |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Well, aside from the loose nukes possibility this is the main problem. Here's global oil output: https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/16274.jpeg Here's global wheat production. A lot of people eat bread or feed livestock with wheat: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina-Mereu/publication/277007923/figure/fig1/AS:749503481118721@1555706963235/List-of-the-largest-wheat-producing-countries-FAOStat-2011.png Here's global fertilizer producers: https://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/styles/wysiwyg/public/media/images/2022-06/fertilizer-IATR-2.png?itok=ojlaD6o7 What then happens to the economy? Russia feeds and powers much of the world. We can produce for ourselves because we are a top producer, but our economy is so globalized... Even if nukes aren't lost, how many people die just because we don't like the Russian government? How many people have their quality of life reduced? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Fuck that. They need to be fucked so bad that the populace looks at N. korea with jealousy. ... This is the chance to finish them off, and let the outlying areas head to moscow for payback. Well, aside from the loose nukes possibility this is the main problem. Here's global oil output: https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/16274.jpeg Here's global wheat production. A lot of people eat bread or feed livestock with wheat: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina-Mereu/publication/277007923/figure/fig1/AS:749503481118721@1555706963235/List-of-the-largest-wheat-producing-countries-FAOStat-2011.png Here's global fertilizer producers: https://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/styles/wysiwyg/public/media/images/2022-06/fertilizer-IATR-2.png?itok=ojlaD6o7 What then happens to the economy? Russia feeds and powers much of the world. We can produce for ourselves because we are a top producer, but our economy is so globalized... Even if nukes aren't lost, how many people die just because we don't like the Russian government? How many people have their quality of life reduced? No, Russia doesn't feed *or* power much of the world. In fact, they barely feed and power their own country. Production =/= export. Further, your charts are inaccurate. Here's the top wheat *exporters* for 2022: Australia: US$10.2 billion (15.4% of total wheat exports) United States: $8.52 billion (12.9%) Canada: $7.9 billion (12%) France: $7.4 billion (11.2%) Russia: $6.8 billion (10.3%) Argentina: $3.1 billion (4.7%) Ukraine: $2.7 billion (4%) Germany: $2.2 billion (3.3%) For oil it's a similar story: Saudi Arabia: US$224.8 billion (16.7% of exported crude oil) Canada: $120.5 billion (8.9%) Russia: $119.5 billion (8.9%) United States: $117 billion (8.7%) United Arab Emirates: $112.7 billion (8.4%) Iraq: $82.3 billion (6.1%) Norway: $57.8 billion (4.3%) Kuwait: $54.3 billion (4%) Russia is a bit player in the global economy. Causing their collapse will be a boon to the rest of the world. |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: And that's a good thing. They're number 3 in world oil production. Number 3 in wheat. Number 2 in fertilizer. Even if it's our tech. Because regardless of how bad their government is, the more of this stuff is pumped into the world the better we (and the world) are off. We're trying to cripple them, not destroy them. Maybe, hopefully change them one day, but by being a great example to follow a beacon of light, not through destruction. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By stgdz: Russia does all that stuff because of our tech. We pulled that plug and it will stay out for awhile. And that's a good thing. They're number 3 in world oil production. Number 3 in wheat. Number 2 in fertilizer. Even if it's our tech. Because regardless of how bad their government is, the more of this stuff is pumped into the world the better we (and the world) are off. We're trying to cripple them, not destroy them. Maybe, hopefully change them one day, but by being a great example to follow a beacon of light, not through destruction. Nope, not at all. They are a bit player in the world economy and the world would be a better place without them. |
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Originally Posted By planemaker: No, Russia doesn't feed *or* power much of the world. In fact, they barely feed and power their own country. Production =/= export. Further, your charts are inaccurate. Here's the top wheat *exporters* for 2022: Australia: US$10.2 billion (15.4% of total wheat exports) United States: $8.52 billion (12.9%) Canada: $7.9 billion (12%) France: $7.4 billion (11.2%) Russia: $6.8 billion (10.3%) Argentina: $3.1 billion (4.7%) Ukraine: $2.7 billion (4%) Germany: $2.2 billion (3.3%) For oil it's a similar story: Saudi Arabia: US$224.8 billion (16.7% of exported crude oil) Canada: $120.5 billion (8.9%) Russia: $119.5 billion (8.9%) United States: $117 billion (8.7%) United Arab Emirates: $112.7 billion (8.4%) Iraq: $82.3 billion (6.1%) Norway: $57.8 billion (4.3%) Kuwait: $54.3 billion (4%) Russia is a bit player in the global economy. Causing their collapse will be a boon to the rest of the world. View Quote So when you look at exports they're #6 in wheat and #3 in oil. Your point is? |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Not if the ruble is worthless. A currency these days is only backed by its government. Not if the oil well heads in the permafrost Siberia freeze over again. It would take at least decade to re-drill again. We would actually need to send them aid again to get this stuff going again. I suppose there will always be farming though, it would just be much tougher. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By Lieh-tzu: Do you understand that private businesses can still produce goods if a government collapses, especially when the goods are extraction and agriculture? Not if the ruble is worthless. A currency these days is only backed by its government. Not if the oil well heads in the permafrost Siberia freeze over again. It would take at least decade to re-drill again. We would actually need to send them aid again to get this stuff going again. I suppose there will always be farming though, it would just be much tougher. In case you hadn't noticed, the ruble is *already* worthless. Much like it became worthless when the former Soviet Union collapsed. We don't need or want to send them diddly squat. They chose to sow this path. We need to facilitate their collapse so they reap the whirlwind. |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Yeah we would be fine. I'm talking about the rest of the world. And the rest of the world does affect our economy. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By lorazepam: We can up production of oil, it ain't a secret we have the reserves. If the dunce in charge would let fly with leases, we could shut them down cold. We can switch from ethanol for fuel to wheat with no issues at all and take up the slack on food. Farmers could make some better money with wheat anyway. Ethanol in the gas is bullshit, and unnecessary. Once their broke dick asses are desperate, we buy fertilizer at a discount rate from them. I imagine if the price goes up, we can find other sources besides russia. If it was worth it, we can mine it here. Just like lots of other stuff we don't bother with because it isn't worth it because of price. We have the means and ability. Yeah we would be fine. I'm talking about the rest of the world. And the rest of the world does affect our economy. We would increase our exports because we would be increasing our production just like every other country would do. And, that would affect our economy in a *positive* way so, again, it's in our national interest to see Russia collapse. |
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Yeah we would be fine. I'm talking about the rest of the world. And the rest of the world does affect our economy. View Quote I am talking about feeding the world, and taking their oil business away from them. The world doesn't need their shit, and we have the ability to replace it. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: So when you look at exports they're #6 in wheat and #3 in oil. Your point is? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By planemaker: No, Russia doesn't feed *or* power much of the world. In fact, they barely feed and power their own country. Production =/= export. Further, your charts are inaccurate. Here's the top wheat *exporters* for 2022: Australia: US$10.2 billion (15.4% of total wheat exports) United States: $8.52 billion (12.9%) Canada: $7.9 billion (12%) France: $7.4 billion (11.2%) Russia: $6.8 billion (10.3%) Argentina: $3.1 billion (4.7%) Ukraine: $2.7 billion (4%) Germany: $2.2 billion (3.3%) For oil it's a similar story: Saudi Arabia: US$224.8 billion (16.7% of exported crude oil) Canada: $120.5 billion (8.9%) Russia: $119.5 billion (8.9%) United States: $117 billion (8.7%) United Arab Emirates: $112.7 billion (8.4%) Iraq: $82.3 billion (6.1%) Norway: $57.8 billion (4.3%) Kuwait: $54.3 billion (4%) Russia is a bit player in the global economy. Causing their collapse will be a boon to the rest of the world. So when you look at exports they're #6 in wheat and #3 in oil. Your point is? My point is they are a bit player that can easily be replaced if their exports went entirely to *ZERO*. You seem to think that Russia is some major player in the world economy. They are not. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By planemaker: In case you hadn't noticed, the ruble is *already* worthless. Much like it became worthless when the former Soviet Union collapsed. We don't need or want to send them diddly squat. They chose to sow this path. We need to facilitate their collapse so they reap the whirlwind. View Quote After the invasion it went to about 120 rubles to the dollar, later stabilized to 60, and now is about 100. But I'm talking worthless... no government, it's worth absolutely zero. How is the fertilizer plant going to pay employees? How will farmers buy seed? |
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: I am talking about feeding the world, and taking their oil business away from them. The world doesn't need their shit, and we have the ability to replace it. View Quote Peter Zeihan on the stability of Russian orl: Peter Zeihan || How Stable Is the Russian Oil Industry? |
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Someone in this thread is FOS.
https://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/russias-minuscule-economy-the-mouse-that-roars Given all the economic, political and security turmoil Russia creates for the world, and especially for the democratic countries, you’d be forgiven for thinking that the country is an economic powerhouse. It isn’t. According to Investopedia’s rankings, at $1.48 trillion nominal GDP, Russia has the 11th largest economy in the world, and only represents 1.31 percent of the world’s economy. It’s nominal GDP per capita is $10,126.* View Quote The world would easily overcome the total elimination of ruzzia. |
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"I do believe that some gun laws are needed and yes, I am a Republican" ~ tc556guy - NRA Member
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Never confuse faith that you will prevail in the end—which you can never afford to lose—with the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be. - Adm James Stockdale
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: That is definitely true. But they have a lot of resources the world can never get enough of. About 10% of the world's oil exports, by your own numbers. we can't make up for that. Oil prices will go up. View Quote Are you kidding? We can pump enough to drop the price below what they can extract it for if we had the will to do it. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: That is definitely true. But they have a lot of resources the world can never get enough of. About 10% of the world's oil exports, by your own numbers. we can't make up for that. Oil prices will go up. View Quote Oil prices go up and down, and will regardless of whether Russia exists or pumps oil. That's how free markets work. All the hand-wringing over not being too mean to Russia is pointless. You've made your point, and you do not seem to have any takers. Perhaps it is time to move on to not shitting up the thread? |
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Originally Posted By m35ben: In Ukraine I think there is a fair amount of regrouping going on. Here on the site the antis are backing down so things can be heated up later if their current pattern continues. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By m35ben: Originally Posted By stone-age: Is it just me or have things quieted down again right now? Russia moved a bunch of top tier units in to contain the push. Maybe it opens something up elsewhere, but likely Ukraine will need to repeat the attrition process on these units with artillery dominance. Time is running out to get about 30km south. Around there 155mm can do a lot of work interdicting any supplies to the southwest front. |
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: Are you kidding? We can pump enough to drop the price below what they can extract it for if we had the will to do it. View Quote We would be talking about doubling our oil production, or at least up by 50% if Russia still produces in non-permafrost areas and OPEC increases output. It's just not possible. According to your numbers Russia exports 119 billion barrels. We export 112. Yeah, they're a poor country. But we need their resources to keep flowing. Much more than we need them destroyed. |
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Originally Posted By planemaker: No, it's not the truth. At. All. Or, even close. We knew they were going to collapse because we were causing their collapse! *THAT* is undeniable. (As Reagan said, "we win, they lose"). We also knew what was going to happen to the nukes, which was nothing. And, no, "tear down this wall" was specifically referring to the iron curtain of the Soviet Union. It was given at the Brandenburg Gate between East and West Berlin as that was *the* symbol of the iron curtain surrounding the Soviet Union. Again, lack of historical knowledge leads one to spectacularly wrong conclusions about current events and what should be current policy. We need to cause the collapse of Russia, like we did to the USSR before it, so that they can never again threaten their neighbors or cause instability worldwide. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By planemaker: Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By Auto5guy: /media/mediaFiles/sharedAlbum/476-342.gif Reagan made all the intellectuals who said the Soviets couldn't be defeated and that he was going to start a nuclear war by trying, look really really stupid. The ivy league idiots have been trying to revise history ever since. Well, the collapse happened under the elder Bush, who was Raegan's VP, and much of the same administration. And at the time they were like "oh crap, what about the nukes! They need to stay together." That's undeniable. Sorry if that makes me look like an idiot but its the truth. And today Russia just isn't that important that we should destroy them and need to worry about loose nukes or people (not just in Russia but around the world) unable to feed themselves or put gas in their car or fertilizer on their crops. There might have been a time in the 70s when they were. And "tear down that wall" was about ending the occupation and reuniting East/West Germany. No, it's not the truth. At. All. Or, even close. We knew they were going to collapse because we were causing their collapse! *THAT* is undeniable. (As Reagan said, "we win, they lose"). We also knew what was going to happen to the nukes, which was nothing. And, no, "tear down this wall" was specifically referring to the iron curtain of the Soviet Union. It was given at the Brandenburg Gate between East and West Berlin as that was *the* symbol of the iron curtain surrounding the Soviet Union. Again, lack of historical knowledge leads one to spectacularly wrong conclusions about current events and what should be current policy. We need to cause the collapse of Russia, like we did to the USSR before it, so that they can never again threaten their neighbors or cause instability worldwide. Well said planemaker Reagan made it crystal clear he wanted to END the Soviet Union. He publicly called them an EVIL EMPIRE. He didn't call them wrong, misguided, or mistaken. He called them EVIL. You don't want to sustain evil. There were some bedwetters in Reagan's administration. They are a built in part of the bureaucracy. When Reagan was on his flight to Germany to make his famous speech some of his staff members pressured his speech writers into removing the "tear down this wall" line. Reagan had to assert himself and put it back in. So it's no surprise that some bureaucratic egghead can be found to say "I was there and we wanted x y or z." Doesn't matter because the bureaucrats didn't set America's policy towards the Soviets. RONALD FREAKING REAGAN DID!! And Ronald Freaking Reagan said the Soviets were an "EVIL EMPIRE" that he wanted to toss "ON THE ASH HEAP OF HISTORY" So when somebody (Looking at you thanosnap) tries to say Reagan wanted to keep the Soviets around their opinion is laughable and worthy of ridicule. They need to go sit at the kids table while the adults are talking. |
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Originally Posted By planemaker: No, Russia doesn't feed *or* power much of the world. In fact, they barely feed and power their own country. Production =/= export. Further, your charts are inaccurate. Here's the top wheat *exporters* for 2022: Australia: US$10.2 billion (15.4% of total wheat exports) United States: $8.52 billion (12.9%) Canada: $7.9 billion (12%) France: $7.4 billion (11.2%) Russia: $6.8 billion (10.3%) Argentina: $3.1 billion (4.7%) Ukraine: $2.7 billion (4%) Germany: $2.2 billion (3.3%) For oil it's a similar story: Saudi Arabia: US$224.8 billion (16.7% of exported crude oil) Canada: $120.5 billion (8.9%) Russia: $119.5 billion (8.9%) United States: $117 billion (8.7%) United Arab Emirates: $112.7 billion (8.4%) Iraq: $82.3 billion (6.1%) Norway: $57.8 billion (4.3%) Kuwait: $54.3 billion (4%) Russia is a bit player in the global economy. Causing their collapse will be a boon to the rest of the world. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By planemaker: Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By lorazepam: Fuck that. They need to be fucked so bad that the populace looks at N. korea with jealousy. ... This is the chance to finish them off, and let the outlying areas head to moscow for payback. Well, aside from the loose nukes possibility this is the main problem. Here's global oil output: https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/16274.jpeg Here's global wheat production. A lot of people eat bread or feed livestock with wheat: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valentina-Mereu/publication/277007923/figure/fig1/AS:749503481118721@1555706963235/List-of-the-largest-wheat-producing-countries-FAOStat-2011.png Here's global fertilizer producers: https://www.fas.usda.gov/sites/default/files/styles/wysiwyg/public/media/images/2022-06/fertilizer-IATR-2.png?itok=ojlaD6o7 What then happens to the economy? Russia feeds and powers much of the world. We can produce for ourselves because we are a top producer, but our economy is so globalized... Even if nukes aren't lost, how many people die just because we don't like the Russian government? How many people have their quality of life reduced? No, Russia doesn't feed *or* power much of the world. In fact, they barely feed and power their own country. Production =/= export. Further, your charts are inaccurate. Here's the top wheat *exporters* for 2022: Australia: US$10.2 billion (15.4% of total wheat exports) United States: $8.52 billion (12.9%) Canada: $7.9 billion (12%) France: $7.4 billion (11.2%) Russia: $6.8 billion (10.3%) Argentina: $3.1 billion (4.7%) Ukraine: $2.7 billion (4%) Germany: $2.2 billion (3.3%) For oil it's a similar story: Saudi Arabia: US$224.8 billion (16.7% of exported crude oil) Canada: $120.5 billion (8.9%) Russia: $119.5 billion (8.9%) United States: $117 billion (8.7%) United Arab Emirates: $112.7 billion (8.4%) Iraq: $82.3 billion (6.1%) Norway: $57.8 billion (4.3%) Kuwait: $54.3 billion (4%) Russia is a bit player in the global economy. Causing their collapse will be a boon to the rest of the world. Interesting that Russia lags behind Canada in both wheat and oil exports. “Boris, make train go faster. Throw another peasant on the fire!” |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By thanosnap: We would be talking about doubling our oil production, or at least up by 50% if Russia still produces in non-permafrost areas and OPEC increases output. It's just not possible. According to your numbers Russia exports 119 billion barrels. We export 112. Yeah, they're a poor country. But we need their resources to keep flowing. View Quote Not really. There are plenty of idle oil fields here that could pick up the slack. Just need the leases opened up. No one would miss russia except you. |
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World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By thanosnap: Not if the ruble is worthless. A currency these days is only backed by its government. Not if the oil well heads in the permafrost Siberia freeze over again. It would take at least decade to re-drill again. We would actually need to send them aid again to get this stuff going again. I suppose there will always be farming though, it would just be much tougher. View Quote Gee, then I guess Russia better fuck off back to Russia then. You're right, things could get MUCH worse for them, and I sure hope they don't escalate and trip those triggers. |
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: Are you kidding? We can pump enough to drop the price below what they can extract it for if we had the will to do it. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By thanosnap: That is definitely true. But they have a lot of resources the world can never get enough of. About 10% of the world's oil exports, by your own numbers. we can't make up for that. Oil prices will go up. Are you kidding? We can pump enough to drop the price below what they can extract it for if we had the will to do it. Now let’s do natural gas! |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By Auto5guy: Well said planemaker Reagan made it crystal clear he wanted to END the Soviet Union. He publicly called them an EVIL EMPIRE. He didn't call them wrong, misguided, or mistaken. He called them EVIL. You don't want to sustain evil. There were some bedwetters in Reagan's administration. They are a built in part of the bureaucracy. When Reagan was on his flight to Germany to make his famous speech some of his staff members pressured his speech writers into removing the "tear down this wall" line. Reagan had to assert himself and put it back in. So it's no surprise that some bureaucratic egghead can be found to say "I was there and we wanted x y or z." Doesn't matter because the bureaucrats didn't set America's policy towards the Soviets. RONALD FREAKING REAGAN DID!! And Ronald Freaking Reagan said the Soviets were an "EVIL EMPIRE" that he wanted to toss "ON THE ASH HEAP OF HISTORY" So when somebody (Looking at you thanosnap) tries to say Reagan wanted to keep the Soviets around their opinion is laughable and worthy of ridicule. They need to go sit at the kids table while the adults are talking. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Auto5guy: Originally Posted By planemaker: Originally Posted By thanosnap: Originally Posted By Auto5guy: /media/mediaFiles/sharedAlbum/476-342.gif Reagan made all the intellectuals who said the Soviets couldn't be defeated and that he was going to start a nuclear war by trying, look really really stupid. The ivy league idiots have been trying to revise history ever since. Well, the collapse happened under the elder Bush, who was Raegan's VP, and much of the same administration. And at the time they were like "oh crap, what about the nukes! They need to stay together." That's undeniable. Sorry if that makes me look like an idiot but its the truth. And today Russia just isn't that important that we should destroy them and need to worry about loose nukes or people (not just in Russia but around the world) unable to feed themselves or put gas in their car or fertilizer on their crops. There might have been a time in the 70s when they were. And "tear down that wall" was about ending the occupation and reuniting East/West Germany. No, it's not the truth. At. All. Or, even close. We knew they were going to collapse because we were causing their collapse! *THAT* is undeniable. (As Reagan said, "we win, they lose"). We also knew what was going to happen to the nukes, which was nothing. And, no, "tear down this wall" was specifically referring to the iron curtain of the Soviet Union. It was given at the Brandenburg Gate between East and West Berlin as that was *the* symbol of the iron curtain surrounding the Soviet Union. Again, lack of historical knowledge leads one to spectacularly wrong conclusions about current events and what should be current policy. We need to cause the collapse of Russia, like we did to the USSR before it, so that they can never again threaten their neighbors or cause instability worldwide. Well said planemaker Reagan made it crystal clear he wanted to END the Soviet Union. He publicly called them an EVIL EMPIRE. He didn't call them wrong, misguided, or mistaken. He called them EVIL. You don't want to sustain evil. There were some bedwetters in Reagan's administration. They are a built in part of the bureaucracy. When Reagan was on his flight to Germany to make his famous speech some of his staff members pressured his speech writers into removing the "tear down this wall" line. Reagan had to assert himself and put it back in. So it's no surprise that some bureaucratic egghead can be found to say "I was there and we wanted x y or z." Doesn't matter because the bureaucrats didn't set America's policy towards the Soviets. RONALD FREAKING REAGAN DID!! And Ronald Freaking Reagan said the Soviets were an "EVIL EMPIRE" that he wanted to toss "ON THE ASH HEAP OF HISTORY" So when somebody (Looking at you thanosnap) tries to say Reagan wanted to keep the Soviets around their opinion is laughable and worthy of ridicule. They need to go sit at the kids table while the adults are talking. I remember Reagan’s speeches on TV and it was astounding to hear such leadership after the Carter handwringing whimpering (sound familiar?). Funny that Reagan used space as a battlespace to bankrupt Soviets and just a couple of weeks ago Russia burns billions of real dollars to run smack into it like a weightless dodo bird 🦤 . Oh the irony! It irons. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
World ain't what it seems, is it Gunny?
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Originally Posted By lorazepam: Yeah, I am done responding to him. It's clogging up a great thread with bullshit. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By RockNwood: Now let’s do natural gas! Yeah, I am done responding to him. It's clogging up a great thread with bullshit. Speaking of Russian retardation writ largo Maybe they can big red ❌ to mark them. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By merick: He did it by bosting the debt pushing debt/gdp from 30% to 50%. If you want to try that trick again keep in mind today our debt/gdp is 120%. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By merick: Originally Posted By Auto5guy: ... RONALD FREAKING REAGAN DID!! ... He did it by bosting the debt pushing debt/gdp from 30% to 50%. If you want to try that trick again keep in mind today our debt/gdp is 120%. No need. Russia is imploding all on its own. Ruble is a penny. Revenue is down over 40%. Ukraine is proving to be the new Star Wars. And instead of us spending huge amounts we clean out our surplus closets. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Third line of defense reached?!!!
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Speaking of evil Russian oil being irrelevant 😁 Romania declared Gazprom violated its laws so now all oil production and distribution is done by Romania. I think significantly this “kick in the balls” applies over Transnistra as well.
Ain’t gonna miss ya!
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Originally Posted By RockNwood: Third line of defense reached?!!!
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/494438/IMG_3514-2943340.jpg View Quote |
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Coyote with 40 people crammed into a minivan gets into a chase with DPS, Paco over estimates his driving abilities and *whmmo!* the Astrovan of Immigration becomes a Pinata of Pain, hurling broken bodies like so many tasty pieces of cheap candy...
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Time is not a friend to China or Russia. Both are swirling the drain. Good fucking riddance. Fuck Kissinger/Nixon, Fuck Clinton, and Fuck Obama/Clinton. Click To View Spoiler The Chinese partnership is “unlimited” according to the dictator Xi Jinping, the communist thug who is Putin’s equivalent in regime and genocide. #China is not only propping up the criminal regime in Russia in the purchase of Russian oil and Gas, it also supplies Russia with military related support in products which range from medical kits and clothes to drones and optical sights for weapons. There is evidence of chinese ammunition being found on the battlefield too - and all of this supports #Russia in it’s illegitimate and brutal war in Ukraine. So talking about Russia’s new best mate - is critical. So how is China’s economy fairing, i.e how long will it be able to finance and supply Russia in its murderous war? The first perspective is to understand that China has been growth economy for over two decades. The economy is largely dependent on the real estate market and this is why: Chinese property crisis summarised: The first graphic in the next tweet shows the stable and consistent growth in the value of real estate in China over the past two decades or more. In 1998 the const per square meter of property was 2000 Yuan. In 2021 it had reached over 10,000 Yuan. The consistent growth is fuelled by the regimes policy of setting local authorities targets, linked to GDP growth and this has led to a rapid and steady rise in the value of property over the period. The return on real estate is more stable and profitable than say shares or other investment and savings packages offered by banks. Proof of this reliance on real estate: In China only 7% of the population invests in the stock market, and 90% are invested in #property. More than 20% of Chinese own 2 or more homes. Chinese do not rent out second homes for additional income as a general trend. By comparison - the US population investments are more balances, 53% invest in the stock market and 65% own real estate. This has resulted in the Chinese economy being fuelled by gains in real estate. The real estate market represents over 30% of the Chinese total #GDP. (In Canada its 20%, the US this is 17%, and in Japan its just 11%). This means the downward swing in real estate has hit the Chinese economy hard. (Other downward pressures including the reshaping of the global supply chain away from China, has seen millions of people becoming unemployed or unemployable - and this in turn adds further pressure to the Chinese real estate market as people cant’ afford to pay mortgages or take out loans for properties). There are some significant figures around real estate you may not know about. 👉The largest real estate developers in China, Evergrande and Country Garden are bankrupt - or are about to become bankrupt. 👉 This matters because the way property is sold in China is pretty much a Ponzi scheme - more than 85% of houses are sold pre-sale in 2023, up from 50% in 2005. This means that the properties are bought and paid for before the property is built. 👉 Mortgages have to be paid from months to the building is complete, to years before it is complete! 👉 Because of the dramatic rise in property values in China over the past two decades, the average home in the city of Shanghai for example vrs average income has risen to 47.5 times the average salary, compared to London at 22 times and New York at 11 times the average salary. Click To View Spoiler What millions of Chinese homebuyers didn’t see coming was that the country’s decades-long real estate boom would come to a sudden halt. Developers ran out of money amid a government crackdown on excessive debt and a slowing economy. Real estate developer giants like Evergrande and Country Garden stopped building, even though they have been paid billions in advance for homes - that they cant afford to build now because the Ponzi property loan scheme has collapsed. Across the country, instead of apartment towers, uninhabitable concrete structures rise up from idle, overgrown construction sites. Infuriated homebuyers in more than 100 cities rose up in a rare act of collective rebellion last year, vowing not to repay loans on unfinished properties. And now for the summary. The housing market has crashed, initially because the communist party actively encouraged an explosive growth in real estate, then pulled the plug on loans for real estate - which toppled the market. Then the corrupt communist regime tried to hide it’s human rights abuses and the imprisonment of over a million of it’s citizens in concentration camps, it became aggressive in the South China Sea and started threatening to invade Taiwan, and then the globe decided that the risk of relying on China to manufacture it’s products was too great - the country has become unstable and the theft of product IP and patents is about as rife as murder is in the Russian offensive. The upside of the Chinese economy demise - is that the regime will face extreme pressure and resistance from it’s citizens in the coming years, as the economy has gone into free fall and is now in deflation - with rising production and energy costs and a significant fall in imports and exports. None of this bodes well for Russia, because a slowdown in China means a slow down in oil demand, ergo income for Russia to continue its illegal war in Ukraine, and if the regime falls in China - Russia will lose it’s new best friend and largest trading partner. So YES - China’s woes are important to know about. They are relevant to it’s support of the murderous regime in Russia. China’s economy is travelling at speed, down a one-way street. In the wrong direction. This is Xi Jinping’s undoing of the Chinese economy. What a great leader, dictator, kleptocrat and genocidal mania - all rolled into one #Rantallion Today is Monday. Normal workday. It feels like a Sunday morning in Germany. Very quiet. Very little road traffic. Western restaurants used to be a real status symbol to eat in. Now they’re empty. Our freight loads out of here are half of what they used to be. China is in trouble.” These photos from today. These places were full pre-covid. (Must all be in America and Europe).
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
The officer added that the invaders' second line of defense is also very powerful, as Russian troops have been entrenched for more than a year. "The second line of Russian defense is quite powerful. I don't know why everyone thinks it is weaker," Shtupun said. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Dupe
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
Don't be complacent about China's problems.
Those are real problems, but recall that during the time the United States emerged as the world's superpower we went through multiple depressions including the Great Depression, and still when looked at over the longer horizon it was a time of enormous growth despite the bumpy ride. Growth often isn't managed properly but the underlying fundamentals still favor growth in China for at least a few more decades. We need to take advantage of the opportunity their problems create but not assume the threat is gone. More like they will be distracted for awhile. |
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So I guess last week wasn't the big offensive breakthrough they were hoping for?
That sucks. |
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Originally Posted By PolarBear416: Don't be complacent about China's problems. Those are real problems, but recall that during the time the United States emerged as the world's superpower we went through multiple depressions including the Great Depression, and still when looked at over the longer horizon it was a time of enormous growth despite the bumpy ride. Growth often isn't managed properly but the underlying fundamentals still favor growth in China for at least a few more decades. We need to take advantage of the opportunity their problems create but not assume the threat is gone. More like they will be distracted for awhile. View Quote A big difference is demographics. In the 30s we still had large families of 4-10 kids being common. That workforce powered us through WW2 and the explosion of industry and growth in the 50-60s. China has the reverse. A massive disparity of mostly males and less than replacement births. Similar to Russia. All industrialized countries are going down that narrow road but Russia leads the way and China not far behind. It will be very ugly for them. |
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Deplorable fan of liberty
“I don’t need a ride, I need more ammunition.” |
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