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Posted: 7/1/2024 7:41:28 AM EST
[#1]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:10:49 AM EST
[#2]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 11:20:13 AM EST
[#3]
 Morning Update on Hurricane Beryl from NHC in Miami, FL (July 1, 2024) |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 11:24:15 AM EST
[#4]
12:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1
Location: 12.5°N 61.7°W Moving: WNW at 20 mph Min pressure: 950 mb Max sustained: 150 mph |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 11:53:40 AM EST
[#5]
1PM update. Still a strong Cat 4.
Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 100 PM AST Mon Jul 1 2024 ...CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... Beryl continues to produce catastrophic winds and life-threatening storm surge to the Grenadine Islands, Carriacou Island, and Grenada. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Residents should not leave their shelter and remain in place through the passage of these life-threatening conditions. A weather station at Grenada airport recently reported a sustained wind speed of 92 mph (148 km/h) and a gust of 121 mph (194 km/h). A weather station in St. Lucia recently reported a sustained wind speed of 52 mph (83 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (102 km/h). This is the last hourly Tropical Cyclone Update on Beryl. The next intermediate advisory will be issued at 200 PM AST (1800 UTC). SUMMARY OF 100 PM AST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 61.9W ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM WNW OF CARRIACOU ISLAND ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF GRENADA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...946 MB...27.94 INCHES |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 12:11:43 PM EST
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: And me and my wife. We are a bit south of Cancun now until July 9th. Last few days have been spectacular. The combination to my gun safe is ****. Help yourselves boys. I've already informed the resort staff that my safe space will be in the liquor bunker. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/312702/IMG_2634_jpeg-3253351.JPG Stay safe Matt. Sorry to say that I drank all of the liquor in the bunker. At least I still feel like I did. Here's a pic of what one part of the beach there looked like last week. Mrs. pj is on the first bali bed. Hope the beach doesn't get cleaned-out.  Attached File |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 12:25:25 PM EST
[#7]
video from the Space Station
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Posted: 7/1/2024 1:11:29 PM EST
[#8]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 3:45:53 PM EST
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I know they are built for it, but damn those rides through the eye wall have to be rough 
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Posted: 7/1/2024 3:54:49 PM EST
[#10]
Wife is from St. Vincent. FIL lives there and last message from him was roof was starting to peal
 That was around 1pm. We assume telecommunications are down as the whole scattered family is quiet right now (and they are not a quiet group). Beryl was a mean little bitch. |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 4:15:42 PM EST
[#11]
5:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1
Location: 13.2°N 63.2°W Moving: WNW at 21 mph Min pressure: 944 mb Max sustained: 150 mph |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 4:23:56 PM EST
[#12]
Huzzah. Comms are back and roof is still (mostly) intact. The roof seperated from wall a bit but sounds like things held together in the end.
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Posted: 7/1/2024 4:32:06 PM EST
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Stay safe Matt. Sorry to say that I drank all of the liquor in the bunker. At least I still feel like I did. Here's a pic of what one part of the beach there looked like last week. Mrs. pj is on the first bali bed. Hope the beach doesn't get cleaned-out. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/383706/IMG_0097cropped_jpg-3255309.JPG Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: And me and my wife. We are a bit south of Cancun now until July 9th. Last few days have been spectacular. The combination to my gun safe is ****. Help yourselves boys. I've already informed the resort staff that my safe space will be in the liquor bunker. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/312702/IMG_2634_jpeg-3253351.JPG Stay safe Matt. Sorry to say that I drank all of the liquor in the bunker. At least I still feel like I did. Here's a pic of what one part of the beach there looked like last week. Mrs. pj is on the first bali bed. Hope the beach doesn't get cleaned-out. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/383706/IMG_0097cropped_jpg-3255309.JPG Anything fun happens I will take pictures and post in this thread. Probably nothing too exciting will happen here. Right now the stress is off the chart and the bull just got put back in the pen. I hope the damage and injuries are light elsewhere.  Attached File Attached File |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 5:46:06 PM EST
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Wife is from St. Vincent. FIL lives there and last message from him was roof was starting to peal That was around 1pm. We assume telecommunications are down as the whole scattered family is quiet right now (and they are not a quiet group). Beryl was a mean little bitch. |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 7:01:57 PM EST
[#15]
just shy of a CAT 5 and the pressure is dropping
8:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1 Location: 13.4°N 64.0°W Moving: WNW at 21 mph Min pressure: 938 mb Max sustained: 155 mph 
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Posted: 7/1/2024 7:12:11 PM EST
[#16]
Cancun going to get butt fucked by the weekend, but it usually does.
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Posted: 7/1/2024 8:57:52 PM EST
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I hope they are okay...nature is something not to mess with. They are thank you! |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 9:59:23 PM EST
[#18]
11:00 PM AST Mon Jul 1 Location: 13.8°N 64.9°W Moving: WNW at 22 mph Min pressure: 938 mb Max sustained: 160 mph |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:00:17 PM EST
[#19]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:02:50 PM EST
[#20]
That is a nasty bitch. Luckily in mostly open waters and expected to weaken before a potential landfall into the Yucatan.
Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1100 PM AST Mon Jul 01 2024 ...BERYL BECOMES A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO JAMAICA LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 64.9W ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM ESE OF ISLA BEATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:05:42 PM EST
[#21]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:27:48 PM EST
[#22]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:34:39 PM EST
[#23]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:46:19 PM EST
[#24]
Are you in Jamaica?
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:48:53 PM EST
[#25]
South of Cancun
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Posted: 7/1/2024 10:55:01 PM EST
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
2005 part deux would not be great. |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 6:43:31 AM EST
[#27]
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Posted: 7/2/2024 6:44:03 AM EST
[#28]
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Posted: 7/2/2024 7:34:14 AM EST
[#29]
 Hurricane Beryl's Aftermath: Carriacou Residents' Survival Stories |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 7:37:16 AM EST
[#30]
165mph holy shit
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Posted: 7/2/2024 7:58:50 AM EST
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted: 165mph holy shit Camille was 200MPH IIRC. |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 8:43:37 AM EST
[#32]
I do not know why hurricane track forecasts beyond 3 days are even made.
These long range forecasts prove one thing and that is current human knowledge and understanding of the weather are woefully inadequate to be making long range hurricane tracks. Look at this mess. Anywhere from Honduras to Louisana? Little better than worthless speculation 
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Posted: 7/2/2024 8:52:33 AM EST
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Closed on the sale of my house north of Panama City 10 days ago. I won’t miss having to worry about hurricanes and my homeowners insurance going up 20-30% or more every year. You're bailing out? Where to? |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 9:45:45 AM EST
[#34]
11:00 AM AST Tue Jul 2
Location: 15.3°N 68.9°W Moving: WNW at 22 mph Min pressure: 938 mb Max sustained: 160 mph |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 10:44:00 AM EST
[#35]
Stay safe everyone.
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Posted: 7/2/2024 2:44:19 PM EST
[#36]
 
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Posted: 7/2/2024 3:00:49 PM EST
[#37]
Quote HistoryWOWWWW! Must be a bitch when it’s time to fly out of that eye |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 3:14:29 PM EST
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: WOWWWW! Must be a bitch when it’s time to fly out of that eye Maverick: “He’s going vertical, so am I.” Goose: “We’re going ballistic Mav, go get him!” |
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Posted: 7/2/2024 9:50:13 PM EST
[#39]
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Posted: 7/3/2024 11:18:41 AM EST
[#40]
 Morning Update on Hurricane Beryl from NHC in Miami, FL (July 3, 2024) |
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Posted: 7/3/2024 11:48:42 AM EST
[#41]
Have been watching a parade of boats headed north up the coast this morning from my balcony.
 Attached File |
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Posted: 7/3/2024 3:21:17 PM EST
[#42]
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Posted: 7/3/2024 3:26:50 PM EST
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
2005 part deux would not be great. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
2005 part deux would not be great. A pox on your house for saying that. Florida got hit by 4 or 5 landfalling hurricanes that year. |
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Posted: 7/3/2024 3:27:39 PM EST
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I do not know why hurricane track forecasts beyond 3 days are even made. These long range forecasts prove one thing and that is current human knowledge and understanding of the weather are woefully inadequate to be making long range hurricane tracks. Look at this mess. Anywhere from Honduras to Louisana? Little better than worthless speculation https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/images/AL02_2024070200_ECENS_large.png?1719906114 I view those as educated guesses. |
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Posted: 7/3/2024 4:02:17 PM EST
[#45]
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Posted: 7/3/2024 4:04:48 PM EST
[#46]
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Posted: 7/3/2024 4:35:46 PM EST
[#47]
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Posted: 7/3/2024 4:37:38 PM EST
[#48]
Quote History |
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Posted: 7/3/2024 5:33:19 PM EST
[#49]
We just found out that a close friend of my wife’s (college, and after college roommate) is in Jamaica. They couldn’t get out in advance of the storm. Apparently they are staying in some house right on/near the water. Details are slim at the moment.
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Posted: 7/3/2024 5:37:46 PM EST
[#50]
Son is supposed to fly to Roatán on the 17th for work. Him and our DIL are scheduled to be there for a week. Two days of work, then the remaining time spent diving. We'll be keeping an eye on the tropics.
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