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Link Posted: 10/24/2022 7:26:20 PM EDT
[#1]
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I lol at your chump change.
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It’s not just 401k. There is literally no other place to make money than us stonks. Not just us buyer demand.

Supply/demand.  But doomers can keep telling me I’m wrong.
My I-bonds must just be figments of my imagination.


I lol at your chump change.

I didn’t say that was all my investments.   But one that quickly demolishes your “literally no other place” statement.
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 8:36:10 PM EDT
[#2]
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I didn’t say that was all my investments.   But one that quickly demolishes your “literally no other place” statement.
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It’s not just 401k. There is literally no other place to make money than us stonks. Not just us buyer demand.

Supply/demand.  But doomers can keep telling me I’m wrong.
My I-bonds must just be figments of my imagination.


I lol at your chump change.

I didn’t say that was all my investments.   But one that quickly demolishes your “literally no other place” statement.


I really don’t see the appeal of those. Reminds my of the pitch your grand parents had “buy treasury bonds!  You can’t lose”.

I also member 5% savings interest.
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 9:54:32 PM EDT
[#3]
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 9:56:07 PM EDT
[#4]
It's the end of the day are we fidgeting our spinners yet or waiting until next week?
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 10:02:34 PM EDT
[#5]
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It's the end of the day are we fidgeting our spinners yet or waiting until next week?
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HODL
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 10:07:54 PM EDT
[#6]
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Stock market was also overvalued to hell and needed a culling.

That said, my INTC buys are up 4.66% already. Need to throw in more orders next red session.

Tesla is still overvalued.

TROW needs more buys after Intels Div-Ex.

After that going for lithium and green energy stocks.
View Quote


Of my limited purchases, I bought INTC at 24.93 for a long term hold of at least a few years.

Anytime the .gov gets involved via subsidies and an active chip war cutting off China, it’s worth the potential loss from rate hikes. The dividend yield don’t hurt either.

Same goes for defense stocks.

I’m betting on a new Cold War or war in general. The world is going through regionalization and turmoil. Might as well make money off it.
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 10:09:16 PM EDT
[#7]
Your watching looting, not a free market. The market does not really correlate to main street any longer.
Link Posted: 10/24/2022 10:11:08 PM EDT
[#8]
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I really don’t see the appeal of those. Reminds my of the pitch your grand parents had “buy treasury bonds!  You can’t lose”.

I also member 5% savings interest.
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If you don’t see the utility of 9.62% on 10k for each member of the family and more for an LLC, then maybe you need to rethink “stonk gainz” as your only play.

Diversification is key to wealth.
Link Posted: 10/25/2022 9:21:30 AM EDT
[#9]
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Pepperidge Farms remembers your 5,000 by end of 2023 call in the March thread.
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It’s all gonna crash!!!

History shows us it already crashed. Were about halfway through the time length of a bear market.  This time isn’t different.

Spidey07 circa October 24 2022



Saving this quote for Q1 next year.

Wasn’t it supposed to be S&P 4200 or greater by now?


No. By the end of this CY. I called 4800 by end of CY 2021.  In sep2021.  I was called crazy,stupid, no way, it’s all crashing.

And yet it was the greatest stock index prediction this forum has ever seen.

Not my first bear market.

Pepperidge Farms remembers your 5,000 by end of 2023 call in the March thread.



I called 10,000 sp500 by the year end!
Link Posted: 10/25/2022 9:25:37 AM EDT
[#10]
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My I-bonds must just be figments of my imagination.
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It’s not just 401k. There is literally no other place to make money than us stonks. Not just us buyer demand.

Supply/demand.  But doomers can keep telling me I’m wrong.
My I-bonds must just be figments of my imagination.


can't buy em in a 401k



that's at least 60% of all 401k holdings being in equities and set to auto buy.

I think the numbers are about 150billion net inflows to 401ks per month
Link Posted: 10/25/2022 9:26:25 AM EDT
[#11]
Link Posted: 10/25/2022 2:54:07 PM EDT
[#12]
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can't buy em in a 401k

https://www.ici.org/deployedfiles/ICI/Site%20Properties/images/20/rc_401k_faq_fig2.jpg

that's at least 60% of all 401k holdings being in equities and set to auto buy.

I think the numbers are about 150billion net inflows to 401ks per month
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150????? I missed it by that much?… .

Dang.  Kind of crazy to think there’s that much cash getting dumped in every month.
Link Posted: 10/25/2022 7:29:47 PM EDT
[#13]
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can't buy em in a 401k

https://www.ici.org/deployedfiles/ICI/Site%20Properties/images/20/rc_401k_faq_fig2.jpg

that's at least 60% of all 401k holdings being in equities and set to auto buy.

I think the numbers are about 150billion net inflows to 401ks per month
View Quote

He didn’t mention tax advantage accounts. Some of us max it out and still have money to throw someplace.
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 8:04:25 AM EDT
[#14]
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I'm thinking it will happen the Wednesday after the midterm elections. I think the market will do well up to that day. Seems to be what happened up to the previous voting day a few months ago. The markets thrived right up through that Tuesday and have been bad up until last week.
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So far the pattern is repeating. The market is doing pretty well. We'll see what happens the day after midterms.
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 8:19:00 AM EDT
[#15]
Wait until the Rs takeover and put us into a recession FJB talked about and everyone knows is coming in 23.
Pretty sure people have been saying the real bloodbath will be in 23.

.gov and media haven't even acknowledged we're in a recession, so how can we be out of it?
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 8:37:28 AM EDT
[#16]
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He didn’t mention tax advantage accounts. Some of us max it out and still have money to throw someplace.
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Yeah, when you max out your retirement account, the SEP is maxed, and the company can no longer match you per your contract, you gotta find ways to make more money with the excess earnings.

The property boat has sailed unless you are offloading.

Stocks are dumb unless you are holding for 3-5 years+

Corporate bond yields are higher, but it better be in industries that are essential. Some are seeing 10% in the high risk stuff.

Angel investing is risky as all hell now given the outlook of consumers burning through their saved cash. The likelihood of survival is low.

Treasuries/CDs are just a way to prevent loss of stocks collapsing vs inflation.

So look for really screaming deals and stack cash Scrooge McDuck until next year. Maybe import some pristine millennial lusted JDM cars for the tech bros to blow their cash on since shipping rates have lowered and dollar strong vs yen, idk.
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 10:37:15 AM EDT
[#17]
This thread is not aging well.
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 6:52:26 PM EDT
[#18]
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This thread is not aging well.
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“Some earnings will beat estimates, others will miss, and it will be overall up this week.

Gotta build the rally until next month when the 1% rate hike obliterates.”- what I said at the beginning of the thread.

Gonna see next week.
Link Posted: 10/29/2022 7:25:51 PM EDT
[#19]
Wait for Nov. 2 when the Feral Reserve meets.

End bancos los federales before bancos los federales ends you.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 2:49:36 PM EDT
[#20]
Are we still crashing tomorrow?

Or are we still sitting on cash waiting for the crash?
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 3:58:55 PM EDT
[#21]
What do you think the fed will do this week?
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 4:00:33 PM EDT
[#22]
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Are we still crashing tomorrow?

Or are we still sitting on cash waiting for the crash?
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Tomorrow is Monday, definitely gonna crash. This will be The Big One.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 5:28:02 PM EDT
[#23]
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Tomorrow is Monday, definitely gonna crash. This will be The Big One.
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I went to an all cash position because you rubes are too stupid to fight the fed.

Or something like that.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 5:32:11 PM EDT
[#24]
I, for one, welcome the lastest iteration of the Monday meme. It's right up there with two more weeks.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 5:45:28 PM EDT
[#25]
This will be the kraken of crashes.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 5:46:48 PM EDT
[#26]
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:10:07 PM EDT
[#27]
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What do you think the fed will do this week?
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Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:16:08 PM EDT
[#28]
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Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75
View Quote


Here’s the point…

NOBODY BELIEVES YOU because you make a big deal about gains when it goes up but claim you never lose because you don’t sell.  

But if you’re right and they only do 50, we will prob see spy hit 420-430
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:18:20 PM EDT
[#29]
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Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75
View Quote


JEEEZ man…chill out. Just asking for your thoughts on it.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:24:36 PM EDT
[#30]




Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:58:41 PM EDT
[#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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Here’s the point…

NOBODY BELIEVES YOU because you make a big deal about gains when it goes up but claim you never lose because you don’t sell.  

But if you’re right and they only do 50, we will prob see spy hit 420-430
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Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75


Here’s the point…

NOBODY BELIEVES YOU because you make a big deal about gains when it goes up but claim you never lose because you don’t sell.  

But if you’re right and they only do 50, we will prob see spy hit 420-430


I make a big deal about a 10% jump in under a month because doomers assured us it’s all crashing down.

I ask where their money is if they are so sure.  Nothing.

I tell you where my money is and what I’m doing. This is typical bear. Normal.

Also, I don’t realize loss unless I sell. That’s truth.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 6:59:59 PM EDT
[#32]
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I make a big deal about a 10% jump in under a month because doomers assured us it’s all crashing down.

I ask where their money is if they are so sure.  Nothing.

I tell you where my money is and what I’m doing.
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Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75


Here’s the point…

NOBODY BELIEVES YOU because you make a big deal about gains when it goes up but claim you never lose because you don’t sell.  

But if you’re right and they only do 50, we will prob see spy hit 420-430


I make a big deal about a 10% jump in under a month because doomers assured us it’s all crashing down.

I ask where their money is if they are so sure.  Nothing.

I tell you where my money is and what I’m doing.

Mines in my safe.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:03:27 PM EDT
[#33]
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:06:54 PM EDT
[#34]
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I make a big deal about a 10% jump in under a month because doomers assured us it’s all crashing down.

I ask where their money is if they are so sure.  Nothing.

I tell you where my money is and what I’m doing. This is typical bear. Normal.

Also, I don’t realize loss unless I sell. That’s truth.
View Quote


Several people have responded and told you where their money is including me.  

None of the bears are saying it’s going straight down.  Obviously we all expect ups and downs along the way.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:14:25 PM EDT
[#35]
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:15:38 PM EDT
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Here’s the point…

I DONT FUCKING CARE what the fed does this week.

They don’t control my money. I do.

But if you want prediction they only do 50 basis hike instead of 75
View Quote


No you don't control the money (actually currency).  The Fed does and I hope they don't do anything.  But theycan declare a bank holiday or if the
PPT calls a closure, you'll be locked out w/out access to funds or anything.

The entire stock and housing markets are propped up by the Fed's brrrrrrrrrr!.  The Fed helped inflate both.  When the Fed takes away the punchbowl, both will be adversely affected.  

Everyone enjoys a growing bubble so enjoy the ride up because when it pop there will be wailing and gnashing of teef.

End bancos los federales before bancos los federales end you.

I wish everyone here much success in all their endeavors.

Weiji! FTW.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:15:51 PM EDT
[#37]
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I make a big deal about a 10% jump in under a month because doomers assured us it’s all crashing down.

I ask where their money is if they are so sure.  Nothing.

I tell you where my money is and what I’m doing. This is typical bear. Normal.

Also, I don’t realize loss unless I sell. That’s truth.
View Quote


ARE YOU SERIOUS? Companies can go bankrupt

Also true: You don't realize a gain unless you sell or send dividends to cash
In the case of a company that does not issue dividends then there is only one option


Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:15:56 PM EDT
[#38]
Are we still thinking 75bps Wednesday?
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:19:18 PM EDT
[#39]
Tomorrow, tomorrow, I love you tomorrow, you're always a day away.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:19:53 PM EDT
[#40]
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Are we still thinking 75bps Wednesday?
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I think so.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 7:21:15 PM EDT
[#41]
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Are we still thinking 75bps Wednesday?
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spidey says 50 and I think he's right. They'll see that as sort of a compromise not to impact the election that they can fix in December, when in actuality, it will impact the election for the dims with a market that will love it.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 9:07:23 PM EDT
[#42]
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Are we still thinking 75bps Wednesday?
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We will find out how data dependent they really are.

Multiple metrics still show the economy is running hot and not providing the pain desired.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 9:19:35 PM EDT
[#43]
Well, I am hoping it's better than my Sunday so far. Check engine light comes on, then the oil pressure light goes, engine starts to do a proper Irish Jig under the hood so I pull over. No leaks, no smoke or steam. No bad smells. Turned it off, turned back on. Engine is still dancing. Call for tow. Two hours later tow comes and I bum a ride from one of my squad members back to the office. Now I am sitting here wondering what in the blue fuck is wrong with my truck. Out of nowhere this happens to a babied 2009 Chevy 1500 crew can 6.0L with 103k on the clock. Just got it back from insurance repair for cosmetic damage during hurricane Ian. Monday will tell the tale so fuck it, let the world burn!

This truck was going to go to my daughter for college.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 9:29:09 PM EDT
[#44]
It wouldn't be a Monday without a market crash to tie it all together.
Link Posted: 10/30/2022 9:47:11 PM EDT
[#45]
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We will find out how data dependent they really are.

Multiple metrics still show the economy is running hot and not providing the pain desired.
View Quote



As much as the market wishes 50, it will be 75.

Because that’s what the data says and you want it to be on long consistent path to lower inflation, not just a couple months of meager decreases.

Unemployment is still low.
Housing is still high.
Equities are still making good profits(other than tech)
Supply chain is still getting worked out.

Central banks in other countries are having to do some selling to prop up their own currency but not near enough to cause panic.

also the Fed is vested in making a split Congress because that will slow spending, doing a 50 bps and stocks up with a rosy picture makes the Dems win more which can’t get spending down.
Link Posted: 10/31/2022 12:15:21 AM EDT
[#46]
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Quoted:



As much as the market wishes 50, it will be 75.

Because that’s what the data says and you want it to be on long consistent path to lower inflation, not just a couple months of meager decreases.

Unemployment is still low.
Housing is still high.
Equities are still making good profits(other than tech)
Supply chain is still getting worked out.

Central banks in other countries are having to do some selling to prop up their own currency but not near enough to cause panic.

also the Fed is vested in making a split Congress because that will slow spending, doing a 50 bps and stocks up with a rosy picture makes the Dems win more which can’t get spending down.
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Quoted:
Quoted:

We will find out how data dependent they really are.

Multiple metrics still show the economy is running hot and not providing the pain desired.



As much as the market wishes 50, it will be 75.

Because that’s what the data says and you want it to be on long consistent path to lower inflation, not just a couple months of meager decreases.

Unemployment is still low.
Housing is still high.
Equities are still making good profits(other than tech)
Supply chain is still getting worked out.

Central banks in other countries are having to do some selling to prop up their own currency but not near enough to cause panic.

also the Fed is vested in making a split Congress because that will slow spending, doing a 50 bps and stocks up with a rosy picture makes the Dems win more which can’t get spending down.
I’m in the camp he might got for 100 bps. Market keeps saying he has no balls.
Link Posted: 10/31/2022 12:54:29 AM EDT
[#47]
Link Posted: 10/31/2022 12:56:26 AM EDT
[#48]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History

Attachment Attached File
Link Posted: 10/31/2022 1:20:07 AM EDT
[#49]
Link Posted: 10/31/2022 1:25:51 AM EDT
[#50]
it’s super cereal this time. trust me.

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