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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:22:31 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The newly minted transplants here are acting like panicked Karens and are hoarding everything they can, mostly they are fighting with each other. LOL I wonder how may are going to beat feet and move back once this one is over, quite a few of them already left because they couldn't handle the Summer. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: I told my tenants in NE St Pete it would be nice to evacuate and I’ll be sending someone to board up the windows. “Why? We don’t wanna live in the dark”  They just moved here from New Jersey. They’re in for a fun time for sure.The newly minted transplants here are acting like panicked Karens and are hoarding everything they can, mostly they are fighting with each other. LOL I wonder how may are going to beat feet and move back once this one is over, quite a few of them already left because they couldn't handle the Summer. Hopefully all of them. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:24:03 PM EDT
[#2]
I75 northbound is apparently busy. If they are south of Ocala and evacuating they would be better off heading southeast on the turnpike.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:24:36 PM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I75 northbound is apparently busy. If they are south of Ocala and evacuating they would be better off heading southeast on the turnpike. People don’t think rationally. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:29:55 PM EDT
[#4]
Anna Marie Island is being evacuated tonight.
maybe 5-8ft storm surge. That will put the entire island underwater. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:30:14 PM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryQuoted: People don't think rationally. 
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:34:15 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I75 northbound is apparently busy. If they are south of Ocala and evacuating they would be better off heading southeast on the turnpike. You guys evac'ing should consider sticking to the state highways instead of the Interstate. Compared to 75, most of the state highways look peaceful on google maps at least.  Attached File |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:35:16 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Do you know where people are evac'ing to? Further inland or escaping the whole state? I'm in Volusia and gas and bottled water are still normal for now. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Wife is at Gandy Home Depot currently. She said the evac traffic is insane. Ft Lauderdale would be a good choice if you gotta go. Decent prices still on hotels, get reservations. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 1:50:45 PM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It looks like there is a snarl up near Ocala. You guys evac'ing should consider sticking to the state highways instead of the Interstate. Compared to 75, most of the state highways look peaceful on google maps at least. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/265591/fltraf_JPG-2540068.JPG Shhhhh... The last scare where 90% of South Florida ran. It was 3 days of back roads to get to work. 3 days of awesome no traffic. Then 3 days of the return of thousands of RVs with NY tags and Broward tags.. Worse I'd seen i95 my whole life. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:01:46 PM EDT
[#9]
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:05:03 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryI'll post pictures from the eye if it continues on that route. 
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:13:49 PM EDT
[#11]
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:15:23 PM EDT
[#12]
My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight.
Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina.  Breaking Hurricane Ian FL. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:15:25 PM EDT
[#13]
Now the weather people are saying it has changed positions and now the new track is NNW versus WNW.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:16:33 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryThe fuck is that shit to the right of Florida. Is that Gaston starting up again. Last time I checked it was dwindling down. That looks pretty impressive for a dwindling down Storm out in the Atlantic. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:18:22 PM EDT
[#15]
The sky is turning black in Cape Coral now and the wind is picking up, we are on.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:21:05 PM EDT
[#16]
I believe that is a circling gyre, not a tropical system.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:24:34 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMMy father in law is in Tarpon Springs and lives in a trailer park community. He lost his second wife less than a year ago and has no desire to take care of getting to a safer place. We even offered to fly him up here (NJ) at our expense. NOPE. He's staying put. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:26:33 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The fuck is that shit to the right of Florida. Is that Gaston starting up again. Last time I checked it was dwindling down. That looks pretty impressive for a dwindling down Storm out in the Atlantic. Either way, it needs to fuck off. I have a trip planned to West Palm for three days of wreck diving Oct 7-9 after this thing blows my house away, apparently
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:28:07 PM EDT
[#19]
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:33:43 PM EDT
[#20]
They issued a mandatory evacuation for zone A for my river house on the Alafia this morning and my other house is right on the edge of the zone a half mile away.
My river house floor elevation is 4 ft. above sea level and the other house is 9 ft. Ian will probably put 3 ft. of water in the river house. The boats are pulled out and, on the trailers, and all generators at the other house. Have food, beer and the usual kracker grin going on . If it goes much over a cat 2 I will bug over to Brandon to my son's house Wednesday pm. I moved all firearms and ammo over to Brandon today and it made the ole jeep Cherokee squat. We will get thru this but knowing I have to repair the river house is a pisser. Any one in that area that needs a hand after this storm let me know, I have chain saws and generators and maybe some beer left ... 
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:35:06 PM EDT
[#21]
Sam’s Club in Daytona is completely out of water already. On the East Coast.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:43:25 PM EDT
[#22]
Just announced the evac orders for Pinellas Co.
There are 44,000 mobile homes in Pinellas Co. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:54:27 PM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My father in law is in Tarpon Springs and lives in a trailer park community. He lost his second wife less than a year ago and has no desire to take care of getting to a safer place. We even offered to fly him up here (NJ) at our expense. NOPE. He's staying put. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMMy father in law is in Tarpon Springs and lives in a trailer park community. He lost his second wife less than a year ago and has no desire to take care of getting to a safer place. We even offered to fly him up here (NJ) at our expense. NOPE. He's staying put. Strong wind, rising water and trailers are not a good combination. Pray for him. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:55:08 PM EDT
[#24]
I'm located in the coastal big bend. If it moves west it'll come toward me.
I went to Walmart earlier and all the eggs, milk, bread and water were still in stock so I think we will be good. The only thing that has run out so far is ethanol free gas. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 2:56:56 PM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted: They issued a mandatory evacuation for zone A for my river house on the Alafia this morning and my other house is right on the edge of the zone a half mile away. My river house floor elevation is 4 ft. above sea level and the other house is 9 ft. Ian will probably put 3 ft. of water in the river house. The boats are pulled out and, on the trailers, and all generators at the other house. Have food, beer and the usual kracker grin going on . If it goes much over a cat 2 I will bug over to Brandon to my son's house Wednesday pm. I moved all firearms and ammo over to Brandon today and it made the ole jeep Cherokee squat. We will get thru this but knowing I have to repair the river house is a pisser. Any one in that area that needs a hand after this storm let me know, I have chain saws and generators and maybe some beer left ... Is that the River house where I went to pick up the loaner generator from you? If so, that is gonna get a good bath! Let me know if I can help. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:02:44 PM EDT
[#26]
We have gas, food and beer.
This shit has happened too many times. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:04:49 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My father in law is in Tarpon Springs and lives in a trailer park community. He lost his second wife less than a year ago and has no desire to take care of getting to a safer place. We even offered to fly him up here (NJ) at our expense. NOPE. He's staying put. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMMy father in law is in Tarpon Springs and lives in a trailer park community. He lost his second wife less than a year ago and has no desire to take care of getting to a safer place. We even offered to fly him up here (NJ) at our expense. NOPE. He's staying put. Pinellas County is starting mandatory evacuations  Attached File
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:06:12 PM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I'm in Napes too. With the current predictions, we'll be fine. Plenty of rain and 40 mph winds. We get that on many afternoon rain storms. Should'da been here for Irma, that was a hoot. The eye came right over us. The max winds were estimated to be in the 140 mph range. Now that was sporty! With that though, our damage was limited to trees and screens around the pool. The house didn't even lose a single shingle. For the most part we are built strong here. Naples here too, close to the gulf. Irma was absolutely brutal. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:10:03 PM EDT
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Pinellas County is starting mandatory evacuations https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/381696/PinellasCoNews_2022-Sep-26_jpg-2540140.JPG
Anyone in D and E should be ready to move on short notice. "Phoenix" tabletop scenario has those areas flooding. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:11:22 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Is that the River house where I went to pick up the loaner generator from you? If so, that is gonna get a good bath! Let me know if I can help. Yeah , same place ... I put a metal roof on it two years ago and redid all the dry wall and ceilings and insulation and built another boat lift ... retirement is fun. Hope you and your wife are doing well ... Yes we are gonna get the big one I think ..Thanks for the help offer |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:20:20 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Anyone in D and E should be ready to move on short notice. "Phoenix" tabletop scenario has those areas flooding. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Pinellas County is starting mandatory evacuations https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/381696/PinellasCoNews_2022-Sep-26_jpg-2540140.JPG
Anyone in D and E should be ready to move on short notice. "Phoenix" tabletop scenario has those areas flooding. Remember Elena in 1985 ???  Here's what Pinellas Co. looked like afterwards 
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:20:34 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMHow good is that guy? What's his rep? |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:25:22 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: How good is that guy? What's his rep? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMHow good is that guy? What's his rep? Jeff Piotrowski is a very well known storm chaser. He's covered numerous hurricanes and is generally pretty spot on with his coverage IMO. https://www.twisterchasers.com/jeff-piotrowski.html ETA he has a new video up  Hurricane Ian update Tampa Bay FL. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:27:16 PM EDT
[#34]
I don't consider myself a religious person, but I will be keeping you Florida members in my prayers. Please plan accordingly and stay safe.
I'm still dealing with damage caused by Ida. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:27:34 PM EDT
[#35]
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:31:21 PM EDT
[#36]
Im not liking the latest tracks. i wonder if they are gonna move it back east at the 5pm update.
 Attached File |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:36:28 PM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Im not liking the latest tracks. i wonder if they are gonna move it back east at the 5pm update.https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/233493/09L_tracks_latest_png-2540170.JPG There seems a bit of disagreement. The intensity predictions continue to look worse.    
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:37:07 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Jeff Piotrowski is a very well known storm chaser. He's covered numerous hurricanes and is generally pretty spot on with his coverage IMO. https://www.twisterchasers.com/jeff-piotrowski.html ETA he has a new video up https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hyBhZeY-nboQuote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: My sister is in the Tarpon Springs area. Her and her family are bugging out to Orlando tonight. Here is Jeff's update from today. He is making this sound like a pretty dire situation on the scale of Andrew or Katrina. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bidbLtRGTLMHow good is that guy? What's his rep? Jeff Piotrowski is a very well known storm chaser. He's covered numerous hurricanes and is generally pretty spot on with his coverage IMO. https://www.twisterchasers.com/jeff-piotrowski.html ETA he has a new video up https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hyBhZeY-nboI wonder if we get another blue shed from his feeds this time. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:38:32 PM EDT
[#39]
Quoted:
Sam's Club in Daytona is completely out of water already. On the East Coast. [/que] Been out and no orders filled since friday/ Saturday . |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:42:49 PM EDT
[#40]
Look like they just suspended a bunch of the tolls as well for the evac.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:44:12 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yeah , same place ... I put a metal roof on it two years ago and redid all the dry wall and ceilings and insulation and built another boat lift ... retirement is fun. Hope you and your wife are doing well ... Yes we are gonna get the big one I think ..Thanks for the help offer Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Is that the River house where I went to pick up the loaner generator from you? If so, that is gonna get a good bath! Let me know if I can help. Yeah , same place ... I put a metal roof on it two years ago and redid all the dry wall and ceilings and insulation and built another boat lift ... retirement is fun. Hope you and your wife are doing well ... Yes we are gonna get the big one I think ..Thanks for the help offer Wife is cancer free for 3 years now and I’m still ugly as hell, so all is normal. I know you are more prepared than 87% of us Floridians, but if you run out of something on that coast, I’d be happy to run it over to you from this one. I have a brother in law over in North Tampa and while his house is high and dry, it’s the spin off tornadoes that worry me most about these big storms. Take care! |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:46:24 PM EDT
[#42]
Is it still scheduled to be a Cat 1 when it hits Florida?
Next weekend is going to be moist. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:47:50 PM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Sam's Club in Daytona is completely out of water already. On the East Coast. [/que] Been out and no orders filled since friday/ Saturday . |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:56:01 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The fuck is that shit to the right of Florida. Is that Gaston starting up again. Last time I checked it was dwindling down. That looks pretty impressive for a dwindling down Storm out in the Atlantic. Quote HistoryQuoted: The fuck is that shit to the right of Florida. Is that Gaston starting up again. Last time I checked it was dwindling down. That looks pretty impressive for a dwindling down Storm out in the Atlantic. Not a storm.  Attached File |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 3:59:33 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Im not liking the latest tracks. i wonder if they are gonna move it back east at the 5pm update.https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/233493/09L_tracks_latest_png-2540170.JPG Shit. Looks like it’s moving closer to me in swfl.
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Posted: 9/26/2022 4:00:21 PM EDT
[#46]
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Posted: 9/26/2022 4:00:58 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted: And in the 20s with icesicles on the fences and orange trees in my area in 89 if my memory is still working. Yeah, we still had snow on the ground Christmas Day...either '88 or '89. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 4:02:27 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted: here is a link for GOES-16 satellite floater https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-02-48-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined It's shame that the big storms are usually beautiful. |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 4:13:19 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Sam’s Club in Daytona is completely out of water already. On the East Coast. LOL Same in Fort Lauderdale. We will barely get a breeze lol. And buying water? Its insane to me. collapsible jugs. Fill em up. Its like people cannot fathom that they still currently have clean safe running water |
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Posted: 9/26/2022 4:21:24 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Shit. Looks like it’s moving closer to me in swfl. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Im not liking the latest tracks. i wonder if they are gonna move it back east at the 5pm update.https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/233493/09L_tracks_latest_png-2540170.JPG Shit. Looks like it’s moving closer to me in swfl. Yeah looks like there moving back to the right now. GFS made a big move east. At this rate who know what’s to come. |
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